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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-13), Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Krispy Kreme Doughnuts is $21.00. Therefore, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
The historical data trend for Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Jan07 | Jan08 | Jan09 | Jan10 | Jan11 | Jan12 | Jan13 | Jan14 | Jan15 | Jan16 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 4.54 | 5.22 | 7.70 | 8.67 | 10.13 |
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jul11 | Oct11 | Jan12 | Apr12 | Jul12 | Oct12 | Jan13 | Apr13 | Jul13 | Oct13 | Jan14 | Apr14 | Jul14 | Oct14 | Jan15 | Apr15 | Jul15 | Oct15 | Jan16 | Apr16 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 8.98 | 9.42 | 9.76 | 10.13 | 10.46 |
For the Restaurants subindustry, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $32.38.
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Apr16) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (14.862653310476 | * | 32.38048 | + | 228.654 | * | 0.8) | / | 65.407 | |
= | 10.15 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 21.00 | / | 10.154617216304 | |
= | 2.07 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Krispy Kreme Doughnuts's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Tim E Bentsen | director | 5 CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 2650, ATLANTA GA 30328 |
Andrew J Schindler | director | 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019 |
Charles A Blixt | director | 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019 |
Lynn Crump Caine | director | 370 KNOLLWOOD STREET, SUITE 500, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27103 |
Lizanne Thomas | director | 1420 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 800, ATLANTA GA 30309 |
Anthony N Thompson | director, officer: President and CEO | P.O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269 |
Cooper George Price Iv | officer: EVP & CFO | 6040 DUTCHMANS LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40205 |
James H Morgan | director | PO BOX 1012 121 W TRADE STREET, STE 1500, CHARLOTTE NC 28201 |
Darryl R. Marsch | officer: SVP & General Counsel | 370 KNOLLWOOD STREET, SUITE 500, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27103 |
Michael H Sutton | director | C/O ALLEGHENY ENERGY, INC., 800 CABIN HILL DRIVE, GREENSBURG PA 15601 |
West Togo D Jr | director | 370 KNOLLWOOD ST, STE 500, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27103 |
Jeffrey B Welch | officer: Senior Vice President | 111 N. CANAL, SUITE 850, CHICAGO IL 60606 |
Robert P Stiller | 10 percent owner | 515 N. FLAGLER DR., SUITE 1702, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401 |
Kenneth A May | officer: President and COO | 13155 NOEL ROAD, SUITE 1600, THREE GALLERIA TOWER, DALLAS TX 75240 |
Daryl G Brewster | director, officer: President & CEO | KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS, INC., 370 KNOLLWOOD STREET, SUITE 500, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27103 |
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