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NeoPhotonics (NeoPhotonics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.68 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is NeoPhotonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), NeoPhotonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.68. The stock price of NeoPhotonics is $16.01. Therefore, NeoPhotonics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 23.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for NeoPhotonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NPTN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.79   Med: 6.42   Max: 23.54
Current: 23.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NeoPhotonics was 23.54. The lowest was 1.79. And the median was 6.42.

NPTN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 1.985 vs NPTN: 23.54

NeoPhotonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NeoPhotonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NeoPhotonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

NeoPhotonics Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.70 -0.38 1.20 3.21 1.16

NeoPhotonics Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.55 1.29 1.16 0.77 0.68

Competitive Comparison of NeoPhotonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Semiconductors subindustry, NeoPhotonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NeoPhotonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, NeoPhotonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NeoPhotonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NeoPhotonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NeoPhotonics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-8.80.

NeoPhotonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-8.79824+152.274*0.8)/56.095
=0.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NeoPhotonics  (NYSE:NPTN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NeoPhotonics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.01/0.678435899355
=23.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NeoPhotonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NeoPhotonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NeoPhotonics (NeoPhotonics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3081 Zanker Road, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
NeoPhotonics Corp develops, manufactures, and sells products that transmit, receive, and switch high speed digital optical signals for communications networks. NeoPhotonics' products are offered under segments High Speed Products and Network Products and Solutions. Traditionally, products from the High Speed Products segment have been used at high data rates for telecom, datacenter, or content provider networks and applications. Alongside these products, the company offers products for lower data rates in addition to passive optical products that do not have a specific data rate. Products manufactured and developed by NeoPhotonics include transmitter products, receiver products, and switch products. The company sells its slate of products globally.
Executives
Bradford W. Wright officer: SVP Global Sales C/O NEOPHOTONICS CORPORATION 3081 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Yanbing Li director 2911 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Rajiv Ramaswami director 5300 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Charles J Abbe director 2445 WESTSIDE ROAD HEALDSBURG CA 95448
Elizabeth Lynne Eby officer: SVP, CFO 1414 HARBOUR WAY SOUTH, SUITE 1901, RICHMOND CA 94804
Kimberly Chainey director 265 EXCHANGE DRIVE, SUITE 100, CRYSTAL LAKE IL 60014
Sheri Brumm director C/O ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 26462 CORPORATE AVENUE, HAYWARD CA 94545
Timothy Storrs Jenks director, officer: President, CEO and Chairman 2911 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Bandel L Carano director, 10 percent owner 525 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, SUITE 1300, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Yuen Wupen officer: VP, Product Dev.& Engineering 2911 ZANKER ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Michael J Sophie director C/O UTSTARCOM INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Chiyue Cheung officer: VP and COO 12TH SOUTH KEJI ROAD SOUTH HI-TECH INDUSTRY PARK SHENZHEN F4 518057
Yang Chiah Yee officer: Senior VP, Global Sales 2911 ZANKER ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Benjamin Lee Sitler officer: VP, Global Sales 2911 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Usnano 10 percent owner 10A 60-LETIYA OKTYABRYA PROSPECT, MOSCOW 1Z 117036

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