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Orchid Island Capital (Orchid Island Capital) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $25.62 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Orchid Island Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Orchid Island Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $25.62. The stock price of Orchid Island Capital is $8.39. Therefore, Orchid Island Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orchid Island Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 0.47   Max: 0.74
Current: 0.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Orchid Island Capital was 0.74. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.47.

ORC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85.77% of 548 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs ORC: 0.33

Orchid Island Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orchid Island Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orchid Island Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Orchid Island Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 63.49 62.57 38.73 32.37 25.62

Orchid Island Capital Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.37 35.73 34.91 29.92 25.62

Competitive Comparison of Orchid Island Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Orchid Island Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orchid Island Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Orchid Island Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orchid Island Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Orchid Island Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Orchid Island Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $101.24.

Orchid Island Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*101.23824+469.945*0.8)/52.286
=25.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orchid Island Capital  (NYSE:ORC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Orchid Island Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.39/25.624060738184
=0.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orchid Island Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orchid Island Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orchid Island Capital (Orchid Island Capital) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, FL, USA, 32963
Orchid Island Capital Inc invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) across the United States. The principal and interest payments of its RMBS are guaranteed by the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or the Government National Mortgage Association, and are backed by single-family residential mortgage loans. The company's investment portfolio is divided into two categories namely traditional pass-through Agency RMBS; and structured Agency RMBS, such as collateralized mortgage obligations, interest-only securities, inverse interest-only securities, and principal-only securities, among other types of structured Agency RMBS.
Executives
Haas G Hunter Iv director, officer: CFO, CIO and Secretary C/O BIMINI CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 3305 FLAMINGO DRIVE, VERO BEACH FL 32963
Robert E Cauley director, officer: President, CEO C/O BIMINI MORTGAGE MANAGEMENT, INC., 3305 FLAMINGO DRIVE, SUITE 100, VERO BEACH FL 32963
Bitting W Coleman director 6330 NORTHWOOD AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63105
Paula Morabito director 3305 FLAMINGO DRIVE, VERO BEACH FL 32963
Ava L Parker director 1469 HARRINGTON PARK DRIVE, JACKSONVILLE FL 32225
John Van Heuvelen director 363 HIGH STREET, DENVER CO 80218
Frank P Filipps director 1601 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Bimini Capital Management, Inc. 10 percent owner 3305 FLAMINGO DRIVE, VERO BEACH FL 32963

Orchid Island Capital (Orchid Island Capital) Headlines

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