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Origen Financial (Origen Financial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Origen Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Origen Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Origen Financial is $5.88. Therefore, Origen Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origen Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORGN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 0.66
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Origen Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Origen Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Origen Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Origen Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec00 Dec01 Dec02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
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Origen Financial Quarterly Data
Mar04 Jun04 Sep04 Dec04 Mar05 Jun05 Sep05 Dec05 Mar06 Jun06 Sep06 Dec06 Mar07 Jun07 Sep07 Dec07 Mar08 Jun08 Sep08 Dec08
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Competitive Comparison of Origen Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Origen Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origen Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Origen Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origen Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Origen Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Origen Financial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $21.93.

Origen Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec08)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*21.9312+78.195*0.8)/25.928
=10.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Origen Financial  (OTCPK:ORGN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Origen Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.88/10.46547110928
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Origen Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Origen Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Origen Financial (Origen Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
27777 Franklin Road, Suite 1700, Southfield, MI, USA, 48034
Origen Financial Inc is an internally-managed and internally-advised Delaware corporation that is taxed as a real estate investment trust. It is a national consumer manufactured housing lender and servicer.

Origen Financial (Origen Financial) Headlines

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