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Amcor (AMCRY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $27.16 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Amcor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Amcor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.16. The stock price of Amcor is $44.70. Therefore, Amcor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amcor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AMCRY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.47   Med: 2.74   Max: 3.93
Current: 1.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Amcor was 3.93. The lowest was 1.47. And the median was 2.74.

AMCRY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.75% of 288 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 0.935 vs AMCRY: 1.65

Amcor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amcor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amcor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Amcor Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
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Amcor Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Amcor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Amcor's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amcor's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amcor's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amcor's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Amcor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Amcor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $591.04.

Amcor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*591.04+3964*0.8)/289.264
=30.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amcor  (OTCPK:AMCRY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Amcor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=44.70/30.415497978591
=1.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amcor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amcor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amcor (AMCRY) Business Description

Address
83 Tower Road North, Warmley, Bristol, GBR, BS30 8XP
Amcor is a global manufacturer of flexible and rigid plastic packaging and provides packaging solutions to the food, beverage, pharmaceuticals, medical, household, personal care, and industrials sectors. Operations span more than 40 countries and over 200 locations. Around half of group sales are derived from North America, one quarter from Europe, and the remainder from emerging markets. Amcor operates two distinct businesses: flexibles and rigids. Flexibles accounts for about 80% of earnings and produces plastic, aluminium, and fibre-based packaging. Rigids accounts for about 20% of earnings and consists primarily of hot-fill and cold-fill polyethylene terephthalate bottling solutions in the North American and Latin American markets.

Amcor (AMCRY) Headlines

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