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Fortescue (Fortescue) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $45.89 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Fortescue Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Fortescue's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $45.89. The stock price of Fortescue is $32.1268. Therefore, Fortescue's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fortescue's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FSUGY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54   Med: 0.63   Max: 0.79
Current: 0.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fortescue was 0.79. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 0.63.

FSUGY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
76.17% of 596 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.32 vs FSUGY: 0.70

Fortescue Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fortescue's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fortescue Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Fortescue Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.33 29.24 44.19 44.60 47.15

Fortescue Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 44.60 - 47.15 -

Competitive Comparison of Fortescue's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Fortescue's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortescue's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Fortescue's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortescue's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Fortescue Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fortescue's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $4,229.71.

Fortescue's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*4229.7142857143+17989*0.8)/1540.784
=50.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fortescue  (OTCPK:FSUGY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fortescue's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=32.1268/50.14069268044
=0.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fortescue Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Fortescue (Fortescue) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
87 Adelaide Terrace, Level 2, East Perth, Perth, WA, AUS, 6004
Fortescue is an Australia-based iron ore miner. It has grown from obscurity start of 2008 to become the world's fourth-largest producer. Growth was fueled by debt, now repaid. Expansion from 55 million metric tons in fiscal 2012 to about 190 million metric tons in 2023 means Fortescue supplies nearly 10% of global seaborne iron ore. Further expansion above 200 million metric tons is likely once it completes construction of its 22 million metric tons Iron Bridge magnetite mine. However, with longer-term demand likely to decline as China's economy matures, we expect Fortescue's future margins to be below historical averages. More recently, Fortescue diversified into green energy, with ambitions to become a major supplier of green hydrogen and green ammonia. Its efforts are early stage.