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Gazprom Neft PJSC (Gazprom Neft PJSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $15.47 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Gazprom Neft PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Gazprom Neft PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $15.47. The stock price of Gazprom Neft PJSC is $14.00. Therefore, Gazprom Neft PJSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gazprom Neft PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GZPFY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 0.65   Max: 0.95
Current: 0.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Gazprom Neft PJSC was 0.95. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.65.

GZPFY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
51.1% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs GZPFY: 0.90

Gazprom Neft PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gazprom Neft PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gazprom Neft PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Gazprom Neft PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.45 30.25 38.73 34.46 54.24

Gazprom Neft PJSC Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.53 51.20 54.24 - -

Competitive Comparison of Gazprom Neft PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Gazprom Neft PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gazprom Neft PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Gazprom Neft PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gazprom Neft PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Gazprom Neft PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Gazprom Neft PJSC's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,938.21.

Gazprom Neft PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.770154119158*1938.21104+36593.367*0.8)/943.6
=53.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gazprom Neft PJSC  (OTCPK:GZPFY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Gazprom Neft PJSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.00/53.147016973563
=0.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gazprom Neft PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Gazprom Neft PJSC (Gazprom Neft PJSC) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3-5 Pochtamtskaya Street, Saint Petersburg, RUS, 190000
Gazprom Neft PJSC is a vertically integrated oil company. The company along with its subsidiaries is engaged in the exploration, development of crude oil and gas as well as the production and sale of petroleum products. It operates in two segments namely; the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas, and oilfield services, and key revenue driver segment includes refining and marketing including processing crude into refined products and purchases, sells and transports crude and refined petroleum products.

Gazprom Neft PJSC (Gazprom Neft PJSC) Headlines

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