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Heidelberg Materials AG (Heidelberg Materials AG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $32.01 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Heidelberg Materials AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Heidelberg Materials AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $32.01. The stock price of Heidelberg Materials AG is $20.31. Therefore, Heidelberg Materials AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heidelberg Materials AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HDELY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.56   Max: 1.02
Current: 0.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Heidelberg Materials AG was 1.02. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.56.

HDELY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
66.56% of 308 companies
in the Building Materials industry
Industry Median: 0.845 vs HDELY: 0.63

Heidelberg Materials AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heidelberg Materials AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heidelberg Materials AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Heidelberg Materials AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.49 27.07 27.40 28.65 32.88

Heidelberg Materials AG Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.40 - 28.65 - 32.88

Competitive Comparison of Heidelberg Materials AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Building Materials subindustry, Heidelberg Materials AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heidelberg Materials AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Heidelberg Materials AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heidelberg Materials AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Heidelberg Materials AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Heidelberg Materials AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,508.75.

Heidelberg Materials AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.6517283697394*1508.7497142857+18801.854*0.8)/925.040
=32.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heidelberg Materials AG  (OTCPK:HDELY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Heidelberg Materials AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=20.31/32.002427592545
=0.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heidelberg Materials AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Heidelberg Materials AG (Heidelberg Materials AG) Business Description

Address
Berliner Strasse 6, Heidelberg, BW, DEU, 69120
Heidelberg Materials is one of the world's largest building materials companies, with operations in 60 countries. Its core activities include the production of cement and aggregates, which are used to construct houses, infrastructure, and commercial facilities. The sale of cement and aggregates accounts for the majority of group revenue and profits. North America is the company's largest market, contributing 29% of EBITDA, followed by Western and Southern Europe, contributing 21%. Heidelberg Materials is listed in Germany and has 55,000 employees.

Heidelberg Materials AG (Heidelberg Materials AG) Headlines

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