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Henderson Land Development Co (Henderson Land Development Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Henderson Land Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Henderson Land Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.00. The stock price of Henderson Land Development Co is $3.045. Therefore, Henderson Land Development Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Henderson Land Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HLDVF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 0.66   Max: 1.01
Current: 0.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Henderson Land Development Co was 1.01. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 0.66.

HLDVF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
69.94% of 1264 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.63 vs HLDVF: 0.38

Henderson Land Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Henderson Land Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Henderson Land Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Henderson Land Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.44 7.83 7.66 8.34 8.17

Henderson Land Development Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.66 - 8.34 - 8.17

Competitive Comparison of Henderson Land Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Henderson Land Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Henderson Land Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Henderson Land Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Henderson Land Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Henderson Land Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Henderson Land Development Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $790.36.

Henderson Land Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*790.35942857143+41811.826*0.8)/4841.000
=8.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Henderson Land Development Co  (OTCPK:HLDVF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Henderson Land Development Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.045/8.4639455581875
=0.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Henderson Land Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Henderson Land Development Co (Henderson Land Development Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8 Finance Street, 72nd -76th Floor, Two International Finance Centre, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Henderson Land Development is a leading property developer in Hong Kong with a focus on urban redevelopment and farmland conversion. The company was founded in 1976, listed in 1981. Founder Lee Shau Kee is the controlling shareholder, and a series of disposals in December 2017 reduced his stake to below 72.8%. The share disposals were the first since 1993, lessening the possibility of a privatization. Lee stepped down in May 2019, succeeded by his two sons as joint chairmen and managing directors. Henderson Land also controls four listed entities directly, including a 33.4% stake in Hong Kong Ferry, a 69% stake in Henderson Investment, a 41.5% stake in Hong Kong and China Gas, and a 50.1% stake in Miramar Hotel & Investment.

Henderson Land Development Co (Henderson Land Development Co) Headlines

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