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Prada SpA (Prada SpA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.76 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Prada SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Prada SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.76. The stock price of Prada SpA is $15.85. Therefore, Prada SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Prada SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PRDSY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.27   Med: 1.96   Max: 3.02
Current: 1.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Prada SpA was 3.02. The lowest was 1.27. And the median was 1.96.

PRDSY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
79.36% of 722 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.795 vs PRDSY: 1.81

Prada SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Prada SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Prada SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Prada SpA Annual Data
Trend Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.22 4.30 5.16 6.49 9.10

Prada SpA Quarterly Data
Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 6.49 - - 9.10

Competitive Comparison of Prada SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Prada SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Prada SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Prada SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Prada SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Prada SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Prada SpA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $582.30.

Prada SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.973715027901*582.30342857143+4202.612*0.8)/1279.412
=8.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Prada SpA  (OTCPK:PRDSY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Prada SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.85/8.9877473172261
=1.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Prada SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Prada SpA (Prada SpA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Via Antonio Fogazzaro, 28, Milan, ITA, 20135
Prada is a family owned holding comprising Prada brand, a younger and more fashion-oriented Miu Miu, and two classic shoe brands: Church's and Car Shoe. The company generates more than EUR 4.2 billion in sales, with almost 90% from the Prada brand. Leather goods make up 50% of retail sales, ready-to-wear 29%, footwear 18%, and licensing (mainly eyewear and fragrances) 3%. Geographically, Asia is the biggest region with 33% of retail sales, followed by Europe at 32%, 21% in the Americas, and 10% in Japan.

Prada SpA (Prada SpA) Headlines

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