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Renewable Energy Group (Renewable Energy Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $40.31 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Renewable Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Renewable Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $40.31. The stock price of Renewable Energy Group is $61.50. Therefore, Renewable Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Renewable Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

REGI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34   Med: 0.59   Max: 1.53
Current: 1.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Renewable Energy Group was 1.53. The lowest was 0.34. And the median was 0.59.

REGI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.84 vs REGI: 1.53

Renewable Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Renewable Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Renewable Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Renewable Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.88 30.99 24.54 47.56 44.87

Renewable Energy Group Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 54.40 42.41 45.15 44.87 40.31

Competitive Comparison of Renewable Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Renewable Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Renewable Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Renewable Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Renewable Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Renewable Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Renewable Energy Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $66.96.

Renewable Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7180950547477*66.96112+1733.973*0.8)/50.559
=40.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Renewable Energy Group  (NAS:REGI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Renewable Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=61.50/40.30761939778
=1.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Renewable Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Renewable Energy Group (Renewable Energy Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
416 South Bell Avenue, Ames, IA, USA, 50010
Renewable Energy Group Inc is a producer and refiner of biofuels in the oil and gas industry. The company's operations include acquiring feedstock, operating biorefineries, and marketing and distributing renewable fuels. Its operating segments include Biomass-based Diesel, Services, and Corporate and other. The majority of the company's revenue comes from the sale of biomass-based diesel. Geographically, it operates in the United States, Germany and Other Foreign countries of which the United States derived maximum revenue. At its biorefineries, natural fats, oils, and greases are converted into biofuels and renewable chemicals.
Executives
Stacey Orlandi other: SVP, Manufacturing C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Eric Bowen officer: VP, Corp Bus Dev and Legal C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Dylan Glenn director 535 BROAD HOLLOW ROAD, SUITE B51, MELVILLE NY 11747
Niharika Ramdev director C/O XL HYBRIDS, INC., 145 NEWTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02135
Todd Samuels other: Chief Accounting Officer C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Chad Stone officer: Chief Financial Officer REG NEWCO, INC. 416 S. BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Cynthia J Warner director, officer: President and CEO 1925 WEST FIELD COURT, SUITE 200, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Harding Peter John Martin director 416 S. BELL AVE. AMES IA 50010
Richard Craig Bealmear officer: Chief Financial Officer 1114 COLFAX STREET EVANSTON IL 60201
Jeffrey Stroburg director REG NEWCO, INC. 416 S. BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Christopher D. Sorrells director REG NEWCO, INC., 416 S. BELL AVENUE, AMES IA 50010
Todd Allen Robinson officer: InterimChief Financial Officer RENEWABLE ENERGY, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Walter Z Berger director 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE, AMES IA 50010
Gary Haer officer: VP, Sales and Marketing 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. AMES IA 50010
Michael M Scharf director 12312 OLIVE BOULEVARD SUITE 400 ST. LOUIS MO 63141

Renewable Energy Group (Renewable Energy Group) Headlines