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SP Plus (SP Plus) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $35.65 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is SP Plus Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), SP Plus's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.65. The stock price of SP Plus is $51.15. Therefore, SP Plus's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for SP Plus's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 1.15   Max: 1.47
Current: 1.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of SP Plus was 1.47. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 1.15.

SP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.77% of 662 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.935 vs SP: 1.43

SP Plus Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for SP Plus's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SP Plus Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

SP Plus Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.47 28.04 30.35 34.20 35.65

SP Plus Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.20 33.02 34.08 34.92 35.65

Competitive Comparison of SP Plus's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, SP Plus's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SP Plus's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, SP Plus's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SP Plus's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



SP Plus Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get SP Plus's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $52.69.

SP Plus's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*52.688+250.8*0.8)/19.701
=35.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SP Plus  (NAS:SP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

SP Plus's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=51.15/35.645311653632
=1.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SP Plus Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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SP Plus (SP Plus) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 East Randolph Street, Suite 7700, Chicago, IL, USA, 60601-7702
SP Plus Corp Provides parking management, ground transportation, and other ancillary services to commercial, institutional, and municipal clients in urban markets and airports across the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. Its services include a comprehensive set of on-site parking management and ground transportation services, In addition, the company also provides a range of ancillary services such as airport and municipal shuttle operations, valet services, taxi and livery dispatch services, and municipal meter revenue collection and enforcement services. Its reportable segments are Commercial and Aviation. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the Commercial segment.
Executives
G Marc Baumann officer: CFO, Treas & Pres of Urban Ops 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE SUITE 1600, CHICAGO IL 60611
Christopher R Sherman officer: President, Commercial Division C/O SP PLUS CORPORATION, 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, SUITE 7700, CHICAGO IL 60601
Robert Toy officer: Executive VP, Operations C/O STANDARD PARKING CORPORATION, 900 N. MICHIGAN AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60611
John Ricchiuto officer: Exec. VP, Airport Division 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE SUITE 1600, CHICAGO IL 60611
Gary T Roberts officer: SVP, Corp. Cont., Asst. Treas. C/O SP PLUS CORPORATION, 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, SUITE 7700, CHICAGO IL 60601
Diana L Sands director 100 N RIVERSIDE PLAZA, M/C 5003-1001, CHICAGO IL 60606
Kristopher H Roy officer: VP, Corporate Controller C/O SP PLUS CORPORATION, 200 E. RANDOLPH STREET, SUITE 7700, CHICAGO IL 60601
Robert A Miles officer: President, Bags C/O SP PLUS CORPORATION, 200 E. RANDOLPH STREET, SUITE 7700, CHICAGO IL 60601
Gerard M Klaisle officer: Exec. VP & Chief H.R. Officer
Ritu Vig officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O SP PLUS CORPORATION, 200 E. RANDOLPH ST., SUITE 7700, CHICAGO IL 60601
Thomas L Hagerman officer: Exec. VP, Business Development 900 NORTH MICHIGAN SUITE 1600, CHICAGO IL 60611
Alice M Peterson director 3333 BEVERLY RD B5-153A, HOFFMAN ESTTES IL 60179
Robert N Sacks officer: Exec. VP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE SUITE 1600, CHICAGO IL 60611
Robert S Roath director 781 THIRD AVENUE, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 194061409
Kohlberg Cpc Rep, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG & COMPANY, LLC, 111 RADIO CIRCLE, MT. KISCO NY 10549

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