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Treehouse Foods (Treehouse Foods) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $51.87 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Treehouse Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Treehouse Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $51.87. The stock price of Treehouse Foods is $35.90. Therefore, Treehouse Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Treehouse Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

THS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54   Med: 0.76   Max: 1.24
Current: 0.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Treehouse Foods was 1.24. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 0.76.

THS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.41% of 1224 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs THS: 0.69

Treehouse Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Treehouse Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Treehouse Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Treehouse Foods Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.07 73.02 74.89 58.84 51.87

Treehouse Foods Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 58.84 53.02 51.30 46.54 51.87

Competitive Comparison of Treehouse Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Treehouse Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Treehouse Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Treehouse Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Treehouse Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Treehouse Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Treehouse Foods's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $162.46.

Treehouse Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*162.464+1664.8*0.8)/55.500
=51.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Treehouse Foods  (NYSE:THS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Treehouse Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.90/51.865845075438
=0.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Treehouse Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Treehouse Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Treehouse Foods (Treehouse Foods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2021 Spring Road, Suite 600, Oak Brook, IL, USA, 60523
TreeHouse Foods, the largest private label manufacturer in the U.S., is the product of a slew of acquisitions, the most significant being the 2016 acquisition of Ralcorp, Conagra's former private brands business. The firm plays in over 25 categories, including snacks like pretzels and cookies, meals like pasta and dry dinners, and single-serve beverages like pods and ready-to-drink coffee. Retailers represent its most significant end-market, where it sells products for resale under retailer brands, but it also serves foodservice customers (providing a similar service as its retail business), industrial (selling bulk food for repackaging and repurposing), and branded consumer goods firms (under co-packing arrangements). Over 90% of its revenue comes from the U.S.
Executives
Mark Hunter director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Jana Partners Management, Lp director, other: See Remarks 767 5TH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Jana Partners Llc director, other: See Remarks 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Ann Sardini director 100 PIER 1 PLACE, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Joseph Scalzo director 1225 17TH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Scott Ostfeld director 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Stephen Alan Landry officer: SVP, Chief Operations Officer 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 600, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Jeffrey M Haye officer: SVP, Chief Procurement Officer 2021 SPRING ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Timothy J Smith officer: SVP, Division President 5 CROSBY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10013
Curt B. Craig officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 2021 SPRING ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Kristy N. Waterman officer: EVP, General Counsel 2711 NORTH HASKELL AVENUE, SUITE 3400, DALLAS TX 75204
Lori G Roberts officer: SVP of HR 1014 SUTTON PL, ST CHARLES IL 60174
Sean Lewis officer: SVP, Chief Customer Officer 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 600, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Clifford Braun officer: SVP, Chief Operations Officer 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 600, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Gainor John P Jr director 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097