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The Hershey Co (The Hershey Co) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $98.37 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is The Hershey Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, The Hershey Co's PEG is 1. The Hershey Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 10.3. The Hershey Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $9.55. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $98.37.

As of today (2024-04-26), The Hershey Co's share price is $187.15. The Hershey Co's Peter Lynch fair value is $98.37. Therefore, The Hershey Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.90.


The historical rank and industry rank for The Hershey Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

HSY' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.89   Med: 2.61   Max: 4.07
Current: 1.9


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of The Hershey Co was 4.07. The lowest was 1.89. And the median was 2.61.


HSY's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
71.43% of 546 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.055 vs HSY: 1.90

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


The Hershey Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Hershey Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Hershey Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

The Hershey Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.49 62.72 73.99 75.83 98.37

The Hershey Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.83 74.27 82.62 94.74 98.37

Competitive Comparison of The Hershey Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Confectioners subindustry, The Hershey Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Hershey Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hershey Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hershey Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



The Hershey Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

The Hershey Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 10.3 *9.55
=98.37

The Hershey Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $9.55.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


The Hershey Co  (NYSE:HSY) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 10.3 instead of 15 in this case.

The Hershey Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=187.15/98.37
=1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Hershey Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Hershey Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Hershey Co (The Hershey Co) Business Description

Address
19 East Chocolate Avenue, Hershey, PA, USA, 17033
Hershey is a leading confectionery manufacturer in the U.S. (around a $25 billion market), controlling around 45% of the domestic chocolate space (per IRI, as cited by Hershey). Beyond its namesake label, the firm's mix has expanded over the last 85 years and now consists of 100 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 80 countries, albeit with just a high-single-digit percentage of sales coming from markets outside the U.S., including Brazil, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confection business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its mix, Pirate Brands, and Dot's Pretzels over the past few years.
Executives
Charles R Raup officer: President, U.S. 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Steven E Voskuil officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer 5405 WINDWARD PARKWAY, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Deepak Bhatia officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Pamela M Arway director 601 HAWAII ST., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Michele Buck officer: SVP, Pres. US Snacks THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 100 CRYSTAL A DRIVE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Hershey Trust Co Trustee In Trust For Milton Hershey School 10 percent owner 100 MANSION ROAD EAST, P O BOX 445, HERSHEY PA 17033
Jason Reiman officer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Maria T Kraus director THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Rohit Grover officer: President, International THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Jennifer Mccalman officer: Chief Accounting Officer 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Robert Malcolm director C/O LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A., RUE DU SABLON 2-4, MORGES V8 1110
Anthony J. Palmer director P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Hershey Trust Co 10 percent owner 100 MANSION ROAD EAST, HERSHEY PA 17033
Christopher M Scalia officer: SVP, CHRO 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Kristen J Riggs officer: SVP, Chief Growth Officer 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033

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