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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $6.60 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's PEG is 1. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 5.3. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.25. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $6.60.

As of today (2024-04-27), Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's share price is $16.88. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch fair value is $6.60. Therefore, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.56.


The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

NGVC' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.56   Max: 4.06
Current: 2.56


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage was 4.06. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.56.


NGVC's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
88.72% of 133 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs NGVC: 2.56

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 6.02 8.81 5.92

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.36 5.23 5.30 5.92 6.60

Competitive Comparison of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 5.3 *1.245
=6.60

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $1.25.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage  (NYSE:NGVC) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 5.3 instead of 15 in this case.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=16.88/6.60
=2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12612 West Alameda Parkway, Lakewood, CO, USA, 80228
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc operates natural and organic grocery and dietary supplement stores. It offers the following product categories, natural and organic food, dietary supplements, natural body care, household, pet care products, books and handouts. The company generates the majority of its revenue from grocery products and dietary supplements and rest from other products.
Executives
Todd Dissinger officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O NATURAL GROCERS BY VITAMIN COTTAGE, 12612 W. ALAMEDA PKWY., LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Dyami Isely-parvanta other: 13D Group Member 12612 WEST ALAMEDA PKWY., LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Zephyr Isely 2012 Irrevocable Family Trust other: 13D Group Member PO BOX 260169, LAKEWOOD CO 80226-0169
Elizabeth Isely 2012 Irrevocable Family Trust other: 13D Group Member PO BOX 260169, LAKEWOOD CO 80226-0169
Kemper & Virginia Isely 2012 Irrevocable Family Trust other: 13D Group Member PO BOX 260169, LAKEWOOD CO 80226-0169
Heather C. Isely 2012 Irrevocable Family Trust other: 13D Group Member PO BOX 260169, LAKEWOOD CO 80226-0169
Robert Linnane other: 13D Group Member 12612 WEST ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Charles Isely-rice other: 13D Group Member 12612 WEST ALAMEDA PKWY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
David C. Rooney director 12612 W. ALAMEDA PKWY., LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Ritchie K. Isely other: 13D Group Member 12612 WEST ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Masala Isely-rice other: 13D Group Member 12612 WEST ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Charity Isely other: 13D Group Member 12612 W. ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Sandra Buffa officer: Chief Financial Officer 12612 W. ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Elizabeth Isely director, officer: Executive Vice President 12612 W. ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Kemper Isely director, officer: Chairman & Co-President 12612 W. ALAMEDA PARKWAY, LAKEWOOD CO 80228