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Newcrest Mining (Newcrest Mining) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $6.41 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Newcrest Mining Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Newcrest Mining's PEG is 1. Newcrest Mining's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 7.39. Newcrest Mining's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2023 was $0.87. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $6.41.

As of today (2024-04-26), Newcrest Mining's share price is $15.59. Newcrest Mining's Peter Lynch fair value is $6.41. Therefore, Newcrest Mining's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.43.


The historical rank and industry rank for Newcrest Mining's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

NCMGY' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.02   Med: 1.75   Max: 3.23
Current: 2.08


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Newcrest Mining was 3.23. The lowest was 1.02. And the median was 1.75.


NCMGY's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 0.91 vs NCMGY: 2.08

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Newcrest Mining Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Newcrest Mining's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Newcrest Mining Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Newcrest Mining Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 6.85 18.78 12.28 7.57

Newcrest Mining Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.78 - 12.28 - 7.57

Competitive Comparison of Newcrest Mining's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Gold subindustry, Newcrest Mining's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Newcrest Mining's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Newcrest Mining's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Newcrest Mining's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Newcrest Mining Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Newcrest Mining's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 7.39 *0.868
=6.41

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Newcrest Mining's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2023 was $0.87.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Newcrest Mining  (OTCPK:NCMGY) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 7.39 instead of 15 in this case.

Newcrest Mining's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=15.59/6.41
=2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Newcrest Mining Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Newcrest Mining's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Newcrest Mining (Newcrest Mining) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
600 Saint Kilda Road, Level 8, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3004
Newcrest is an Australia-based gold and, to a lesser extent, copper miner. Operations are mainly in Australia and Papua New Guinea. The company also owns a 32% stake in the Fruta Del Norte gold mine in Ecuador, while the acquisition of Brucejack in 2022 adds to its 70% stake in the Red Chris mine in Canada. The company is likely to produce around 2 million ounces of gold per year over the next decade, making it one of the larger global gold producers but still only accounting for less than 2% of total supply. Cash costs are below the industry average, underpinned by improvements at Lihir and Cadia. Organic growth options include its Havieron prospect, the Red Chris underground mine, and the high-grade Wafi-Golpu copper-gold prospect in PNG.

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