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Forth PCL (BKK:FORTH-R) Beneish M-Score : -3.48 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Forth PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:FORTH-R' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.93   Med: -2.88   Max: -1.98
Current: -3.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Forth PCL was -1.98. The lowest was -3.93. And the median was -2.88.


Forth PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forth PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Forth PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.93 -3.03 -2.30 -2.43 -3.48

Forth PCL Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.65 -2.76 -2.85 -3.48

Competitive Comparison of Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forth PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Forth PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Forth PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6534+0.528 * 1.0218+0.404 * 1.0847+0.892 * 1.0064+0.115 * 1.0336
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1059+4.679 * -0.153312-0.327 * 0.9877
=-3.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿2,196 Mil.
Revenue was 1919.249 + 2363.028 + 2702.084 + 2507.186 = ฿9,492 Mil.
Gross Profit was 488.046 + 544.849 + 641.677 + 580.924 = ฿2,255 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿5,480 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿11,122 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,342 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿652 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿1,415 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿6,280 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿1,160 Mil.
Net Income was 22.246 + 122.172 + 203.629 + 224.514 = ฿573 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 317.003 + 4.77 + 3.117 + 0.14 = ฿325 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 847.214 + 414.026 + 273.543 + 417.946 = ฿1,953 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿3,340 Mil.
Revenue was 2540.87 + 2651.555 + 2171.627 + 2066.977 = ฿9,431 Mil.
Gross Profit was 585.666 + 666.744 + 534.183 + 503.316 = ฿2,290 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿6,734 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿11,385 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿3,425 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿534 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿1,271 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿7,394 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿318 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2196.332 / 9491.547) / (3340.023 / 9431.029)
=0.231399 / 0.354153
=0.6534

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2289.909 / 9431.029) / (2255.496 / 9491.547)
=0.242806 / 0.237632
=1.0218

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5479.772 + 4342.196) / 11122.439) / (1 - (6733.51 + 3424.652) / 11385.473)
=0.116923 / 0.107796
=1.0847

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9491.547 / 9431.029
=1.0064

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(534.279 / (534.279 + 3424.652)) / (652.096 / (652.096 + 4342.196))
=0.134955 / 0.130568
=1.0336

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1414.701 / 9491.547) / (1271.093 / 9431.029)
=0.149049 / 0.134778
=1.1059

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1160.482 + 6279.573) / 11122.439) / ((317.648 + 7393.53) / 11385.473)
=0.668923 / 0.677282
=0.9877

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(572.561 - 325.03 - 1952.729) / 11122.439
=-0.153312

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Forth PCL has a M-score of -3.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Forth PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Forth PCL (BKK:FORTH-R) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1053/1, Phaholyothin Road, Phayathai Sub-district, Phayathai District, Bangkok, THA, 10400
Forth Corp PCL is engaged in the manufacture and distribution of electronic equipment and project work relating to design and install telecommunication equipment. The company is organized into business units based on its products and services and have three reportable segments as follows - Electronics Manufacturing Service segment designs manufactures of consigns and turnkey projects, and sales of semiconductor electronic parts. Enterprise solutions business segment that bids for project work, sources, subcontracts and install various systems for the government and private sectors. The Smart service business segment provides online financial transaction services and sells products and services through vending machines. The company and its subsidiaries are operated in Thailand only.

Forth PCL (BKK:FORTH-R) Headlines

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