City Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of City Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9769 | + | 0.892 * 0.3503 | + | 0.115 * 1.0086 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 3.0565 | + | 4.679 * -0.069592 | - | 0.327 * 0.7388 |
| = | -3.66 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Jun09) TTM: | Last Year (Jun08) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $29.02 Mil.
Revenue was 1.346 + 4.448 + 6.616 + 16.312 = $28.72 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1.346 + 4.448 + 6.616 + 16.312 = $28.72 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $41.84 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,289.82 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4.88 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.38 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $10.88 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2.80 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $75.00 Mil.
Net Income was -22.756 + -8.024 + -64.884 + -10.963 = $-106.63 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -2.993 + -13.873 + 0 + 0 = $-16.87 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 19.133 + 20.663 + 20.873 + 21.312 = $81.98 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19.133 + 20.663 + 20.873 + 21.312 = $81.98 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12.10 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,292.30 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5.22 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.41 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $10.16 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $105.51 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (29.023 / 28.722) | / | (0 / 81.981) |
| = | 1.01048 | / | 0 |
| | = | 1 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (81.981 / 81.981) | / | (28.722 / 28.722) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (41.838 + 4.878) / 1289.818) | / | (1 - (12.102 + 5.22) / 1292.3) |
| = | 0.963781 | / | 0.986596 |
| | = | 0.9769 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 28.722 | / | 81.981 |
| | = | 0.3503 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (0.405 / (0.405 + 5.22)) | / | (0.375 / (0.375 + 4.878)) |
| = | 0.072 | / | 0.071388 |
| | = | 1.0086 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (10.884 / 28.722) | / | (10.164 / 81.981) |
| = | 0.378943 | / | 0.12398 |
| | = | 3.0565 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((75 + 2.801) / 1289.818) | / | ((105.509 + 0) / 1292.3) |
| = | 0.060319 | / | 0.081644 |
| | = | 0.7388 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (-106.627 - 0 | - | -16.866) | / | 1289.818 |
| | = | -0.069592 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
City Bank has a M-score of -3.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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