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China Oriental Group Co (China Oriental Group Co) Beneish M-Score : -1.52 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.52 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CUGCF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.37   Med: -2.43   Max: -0.96
Current: -1.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Oriental Group Co was -0.96. The lowest was -3.37. And the median was -2.43.


China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

China Oriental Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.96 -1.77 -2.31 -1.52 -

China Oriental Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 - -1.52 - -

Competitive Comparison of China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Oriental Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3367+0.528 * 2.1843+0.404 * 1.0771+0.892 * 0.8549+0.115 * 0.9747
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1867+4.679 * 0.023085-0.327 * 0.8471
=-1.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was $886 Mil.
Revenue was $6,974 Mil.
Gross Profit was $251 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,631 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,888 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,217 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $183 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $151 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,034 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $204 Mil.
Net Income was $116 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $-43 Mil.
Total Receivables was $775 Mil.
Revenue was $8,157 Mil.
Gross Profit was $642 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,828 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,183 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,207 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $178 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,170 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $371 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(885.978 / 6973.956) / (775.308 / 8157.499)
=0.127041 / 0.095042
=1.3367

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(642.395 / 8157.499) / (251.43 / 6973.956)
=0.078749 / 0.036053
=2.1843

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3630.73 + 2217.215) / 6888.362) / (1 - (4828.288 + 2207.097) / 8182.874)
=0.15104 / 0.140231
=1.0771

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6973.956 / 8157.499
=0.8549

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(177.518 / (177.518 + 2207.097)) / (183.348 / (183.348 + 2217.215))
=0.074443 / 0.076377
=0.9747

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(150.514 / 6973.956) / (148.363 / 8157.499)
=0.021582 / 0.018187
=1.1867

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((203.967 + 3034.266) / 6888.362) / ((371.392 + 4169.732) / 8182.874)
=0.470102 / 0.554955
=0.8471

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(115.826 - 0 - -43.19) / 6888.362
=0.023085

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Oriental Group Co has a M-score of -1.52 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Oriental Group Co (China Oriental Group Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
23 Harbour Road, Suites 901-2 and 10, 9th Floor, Great Eagle Centre, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Oriental Group Co Ltd is an iron and steel producer. The company is organized into two main operating segments: Iron and Steel and Real Estate. The Iron and Steel segment is comprised of the manufacturing and sale of iron and steel products and trading of steel products and iron ore and under its Real Estate segment it develops and sells properties. China Oriental produces downstream products including H-section steel, Cold rolled sheets, Galvanized sheets, Strips and strip products, Billets, Rebar, and Steel pile sheets. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Iron and Steel segment. The firm's major customers are based in Northern China.

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