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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Waters Corp was -2.19. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.56.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Waters Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9946||+||0.528 * 0.9912||+||0.404 * 0.876||+||0.892 * 1.2225||+||0.115 * 0.9971|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9459||+||4.679 * -0.0243||-||0.327 * 1.0185|
|This Year (Sep15) TTM:||Last Year (Sep14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was €371 Mil.|
Revenue was 446.028691081 + 440.826873385 + 425.394068188 + 473.536090835 = €1,786 Mil.
Gross Profit was 261.760670053 + 254.863227301 + 250.538667652 + 284.469586375 = €1,052 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,757 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,672 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €290 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €80 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €438 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €478 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was €1,296 Mil.
Net Income was 103.609551813 + 94.1432771986 + 88.7563522129 + 122.702351987 = €409 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 123.935667825 + 100.649558941 + 142.834703871 + 131.161394972 = €499 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was €305 Mil.
Revenue was 382.684100256 + 354.604401266 + 311.26310462 + 412.224247284 = €1,461 Mil.
Gross Profit was 225.764724141 + 206.041068669 + 175.539729593 + 245.28468324 = €853 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,095 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,911 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €251 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €68 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €379 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €446 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was €935 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(370.944488996 / 1785.78572349)||/||(305.089625204 / 1460.77585343)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(254.863227301 / 1460.77585343)||/||(261.760670053 / 1785.78572349)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (2756.70230776 + 290.07751938) / 3672.14113873)||/||(1 - (2094.67680608 + 250.581205866) / 2911.20974626)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(68.4671475172 / (68.4671475172 + 250.581205866))||/||(79.5538349746 / (79.5538349746 + 290.07751938))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(437.997187587 / 1785.78572349)||/||(378.772048031 / 1460.77585343)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((1296.44480086 + 477.549674775) / 3672.14113873)||/||((935.050826414 + 445.781795608) / 2911.20974626)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(409.211533212 - 0||-||498.581325609)||/||3672.14113873|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Waters Corp has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Waters Corp Annual Data
Waters Corp Quarterly Data