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Guangdong Investment (Guangdong Investment) Beneish M-Score : -2.51 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GGDVY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.67   Med: -2.36   Max: -0.53
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guangdong Investment was -0.53. The lowest was -2.67. And the median was -2.36.


Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Chart

Guangdong Investment Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.08 -0.53 -2.38 -2.15 -2.51

Guangdong Investment Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 - -2.15 - -2.51

Competitive Comparison of Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guangdong Investment for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2052+0.528 * 1.0172+0.404 * 0.9569+0.892 * 1.04+0.115 * 1.1215
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.99+4.679 * -0.054217-0.327 * 1.0462
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,075 Mil.
Revenue was $3,099 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,290 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,078 Mil.
Total Assets was $17,922 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,453 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $318 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $471 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,847 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,551 Mil.
Net Income was $400 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,371 Mil.
Total Receivables was $858 Mil.
Revenue was $2,979 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,262 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,708 Mil.
Total Assets was $17,149 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,051 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $265 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $457 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,581 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,014 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1074.891 / 3098.657) / (857.549 / 2979.454)
=0.346889 / 0.287821
=1.2052

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1261.742 / 2979.454) / (1290.07 / 3098.657)
=0.423481 / 0.416332
=1.0172

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7078.006 + 1452.874) / 17921.838) / (1 - (6707.523 + 1050.832) / 17149.359)
=0.523995 / 0.547601
=0.9569

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3098.657 / 2979.454
=1.04

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(265.258 / (265.258 + 1050.832)) / (318.295 / (318.295 + 1452.874))
=0.20155 / 0.179709
=1.1215

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(470.715 / 3098.657) / (457.172 / 2979.454)
=0.151909 / 0.153442
=0.99

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3551.089 + 5847.293) / 17921.838) / ((4014.434 + 4581.432) / 17149.359)
=0.524409 / 0.501235
=1.0462

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(399.763 - 0 - 1371.425) / 17921.838
=-0.054217

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guangdong Investment has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Guangdong Investment (Guangdong Investment) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
148 Connaught Road Central, 28th and 29th Floors, Guangdong Investment Tower, Hong Kong, HKG
Guangdong Investment Ltd is engaged in investment holding, water resources, property investment and development, department store operation, hotel ownership, operation and management, investment in energy projects, road, and bridge operation. Its segments include water resources, property investment and development, department store operation, electric power generation, hotel operation and management, road and bridge segment, and others segment. The company derives most of the revenue from the water resources segment that engages in water distribution, sewage treatment, and construction of water supply and sewage treatment infrastructure for customers in Mainland China and Hong Kong.

Guangdong Investment (Guangdong Investment) Headlines