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China South City Holdings (HKSE:01668) Beneish M-Score : -2.69 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is China South City Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01668' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.55   Max: 5.16
Current: -2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China South City Holdings was 5.16. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.55.


China South City Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China South City Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

China South City Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.68 -2.41 5.16 -2.69

China South City Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 5.16 - -2.69 -

Competitive Comparison of China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China South City Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China South City Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China South City Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.19+0.528 * 1.4634+0.404 * 1.0403+0.892 * 0.4214+0.115 * 1.3479
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.8701+4.679 * -0.006002-0.327 * 0.9705
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$3,947 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,052 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$820 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$52,260 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$114,224 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,215 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$146 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,065 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$40,760 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$20,046 Mil.
Net Income was HK$700 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,386 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$7,871 Mil.
Revenue was HK$9,616 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,848 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$59,432 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$124,387 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,361 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$231 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,352 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$53,006 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$15,225 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3947.227 / 4052.262) / (7871.137 / 9615.923)
=0.97408 / 0.818552
=1.19

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2847.639 / 9615.923) / (820.035 / 4052.262)
=0.296138 / 0.202365
=1.4634

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (52259.942 + 1214.558) / 114224.395) / (1 - (59432.461 + 1361.317) / 124387.424)
=0.531847 / 0.511255
=1.0403

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4052.262 / 9615.923
=0.4214

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(230.544 / (230.544 + 1361.317)) / (146.215 / (146.215 + 1214.558))
=0.144827 / 0.10745
=1.3479

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1065.42 / 4052.262) / (1351.91 / 9615.923)
=0.26292 / 0.140591
=1.8701

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20045.816 + 40760.184) / 114224.395) / ((15225.267 + 53005.85) / 124387.424)
=0.532338 / 0.548537
=0.9705

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(699.984 - 0 - 1385.613) / 114224.395
=-0.006002

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China South City Holdings has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China South City Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China South City Holdings (HKSE:01668) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
The Gateway, 15 Canton Road, Suite 3306-08, 33rd Floor, Tower 5, Tsim Sha Tsui, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
China South City Holdings Ltd develops and operates large-scale integrated logistics and trade centers in China. It operates in three segments that include property development, property investment and management, and others. The majority of the revenue is generated from the property development segments that include the development of integrated logistics and trade centers and residential and commercial ancillary facilities. The majority of its operations are conducted in the People's Republic of China.

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