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ModivCare (ModivCare) Beneish M-Score : -2.05 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is ModivCare Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ModivCare's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MODV' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.05   Med: -2.32   Max: -1.55
Current: -2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ModivCare was -1.55. The lowest was -4.05. And the median was -2.32.


ModivCare Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ModivCare's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ModivCare Beneish M-Score Chart

ModivCare Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -4.05 -2.79 -2.27 -2.05

ModivCare Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 -2.19 -1.90 -1.96 -2.05

Competitive Comparison of ModivCare's Beneish M-Score

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, ModivCare's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ModivCare's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, ModivCare's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ModivCare's Beneish M-Score falls into.



ModivCare Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ModivCare for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1503+0.528 * 1.1609+0.404 * 0.9136+0.892 * 1.0985+0.115 * 1.0585
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8606+4.679 * 0.034862-0.327 * 1.1257
=-2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $375 Mil.
Revenue was 702.832 + 686.925 + 699.107 + 662.306 = $2,751 Mil.
Gross Profit was 117.349 + 107.711 + 109.852 + 112.04 = $447 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $405 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,767 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $125 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $104 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $305 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $520 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,018 Mil.
Net Income was -5.252 + -4.302 + -190.944 + -3.962 = $-204 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + -183.1 + 0 = $-183 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -25.644 + 53.547 + -108.219 + -2.655 = $-83 Mil.
Total Receivables was $297 Mil.
Revenue was 653.921 + 647.782 + 628.215 + 574.475 = $2,504 Mil.
Gross Profit was 119.955 + 113.219 + 123.985 + 115.16 = $472 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $346 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,944 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $109 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $100 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $322 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $492 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,011 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(375.113 / 2751.17) / (296.847 / 2504.393)
=0.136347 / 0.118531
=1.1503

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(472.319 / 2504.393) / (446.952 / 2751.17)
=0.188596 / 0.162459
=1.1609

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (404.923 + 125.405) / 1767.275) / (1 - (346.154 + 108.543) / 1944.272)
=0.699918 / 0.766135
=0.9136

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2751.17 / 2504.393
=1.0985

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(100.415 / (100.415 + 108.543)) / (104.271 / (104.271 + 125.405))
=0.480551 / 0.453992
=1.0585

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(304.564 / 2751.17) / (322.171 / 2504.393)
=0.110703 / 0.128642
=0.8606

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1017.541 + 520.402) / 1767.275) / ((1011.449 + 491.597) / 1944.272)
=0.870234 / 0.773064
=1.1257

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-204.46 - -183.1 - -82.971) / 1767.275
=0.034862

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ModivCare has a M-score of -2.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


ModivCare Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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ModivCare (ModivCare) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6900 Layton Avenue, 12th Floor, Denver, CO, USA, 80237
ModivCare Inc is a technology-enabled healthcare services company that provides a suite of integrated supportive care solutions for payors and their members. The company is also a provider of non-emergency medical transportation, or NEMT, personal care, and remote patient monitoring, or RPM, solutions, which serve similar, highly vulnerable patient populations. Its operating segment includes NEMT, Personal Care, and Remote Patient Monitoring. The company generates maximum revenue from the NEMT segment.
Executives
Barbara Gutierrez officer: Chief Financial Officer 8950 E. LOWRY BLVD., DENVER CO 80230
L Heath Sampson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ADVANCED EMISSIONS SOLUTIONS, INC., 9135 S RIDGELINE BLVD STE 200, HIGHLANDS RANCH CO 80129
Coliseum Capital Management, Llc director, 10 percent owner 105 ROWAYTON AVENUE, ROWAYTON CT 06853
Henry Toledo officer: Chief People Officer 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237
Jessica Kral officer: Chief Information Officer 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237
Anne E, Bailey officer: President, Home Division 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237
Rebecca Orcutt officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237
Brett M. Hickman officer: Chief Commercial Officer 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80237
Ilias Simpson officer: President, Transportation 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80237
Jason E Anderson officer: President of ModivCare Home 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80237
Grover Wray officer: Chief Human Resources Officer DIGITALGLOBE, INC., 1300 WEST 120TH AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80234
Daniel E Greenleaf director, officer: CEO and President C/O NABI BIO PHARMACEUTICALS, 5800 PARK OF COMMERCE BLVD., N.W., BOCA RATON FL 33487
Jonathan B Bush officer: SVP, GC and Secretary 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237
Kenneth Shepard officer: Vice President, CAO 6900 LAYTON AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237
Stacy Saal director 4700 SOUTH SYRACUSE STREET, 4TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80237