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San Miguel (San Miguel) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is San Miguel Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for San Miguel's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SMGBY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.73
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of San Miguel was -1.73. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.59.


San Miguel Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for San Miguel's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

San Miguel Beneish M-Score Chart

San Miguel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.61 -2.28 -1.73 -2.61

San Miguel Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.73 -2.04 -2.48 -2.53 -2.61

Competitive Comparison of San Miguel's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, San Miguel's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


San Miguel's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, San Miguel's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where San Miguel's Beneish M-Score falls into.



San Miguel Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of San Miguel for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1475+0.528 * 0.7736+0.404 * 1.0861+0.892 * 0.9602+0.115 * 1.3483
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1509+4.679 * -0.033707-0.327 * 0.993
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $4,556 Mil.
Revenue was 6677.145 + 6508.214 + 5861.391 + 6003.742 = $25,050 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1063.245 + 1088.717 + 995.143 + 979.074 = $4,126 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,396 Mil.
Total Assets was $42,585 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,137 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $925 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $560 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,904 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $17,163 Mil.
Net Income was 0.9 + -10.58 + -139.823 + 152.931 = $3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1027.749 + 353.688 + 1324.451 + 788.465 = $1,439 Mil.
Total Receivables was $4,135 Mil.
Revenue was 6823.531 + 6945.381 + 6833.609 + 5484.968 = $26,087 Mil.
Gross Profit was 860.705 + 647.931 + 911.215 + 904.462 = $3,324 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,312 Mil.
Total Assets was $41,416 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,416 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,214 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $507 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,599 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16,849 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4556.056 / 25050.492) / (4134.647 / 26087.489)
=0.181875 / 0.158492
=1.1475

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3324.313 / 26087.489) / (4126.179 / 25050.492)
=0.127429 / 0.164714
=0.7736

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14396.203 + 15137.032) / 42585.316) / (1 - (15312.127 + 14416.116) / 41415.822)
=0.306493 / 0.282201
=1.0861

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25050.492 / 26087.489
=0.9602

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1213.857 / (1213.857 + 14416.116)) / (925.223 / (925.223 + 15137.032))
=0.077662 / 0.057602
=1.3483

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(559.899 / 25050.492) / (506.653 / 26087.489)
=0.022351 / 0.019421
=1.1509

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17162.608 + 12903.981) / 42585.316) / ((16848.711 + 12599.037) / 41415.822)
=0.706032 / 0.711027
=0.993

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3.428 - 0 - 1438.855) / 42585.316
=-0.033707

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

San Miguel has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


San Miguel Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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San Miguel (San Miguel) Business Description

Address
No. 40 San Miguel Avenue, Metro Manila, P.O. Box 271, Manila Central Post Office, Mandaluyong, PHL, 1550
San Miguel Corp is a holding company based in the Philippines. The company's operating segments include food and beverage; packaging; energy; fuel and oil; and infrastructure. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the fuel and oil segments. The fuel and oil segment is engaged in refining crude oil and marketing and distribution of refined petroleum products.

San Miguel (San Miguel) Headlines

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