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Penske Automotive Group (Penske Automotive Group) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Penske Automotive Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PAG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.48   Max: -2.28
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Penske Automotive Group was -2.28. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.48.


Penske Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Penske Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Penske Automotive Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 -2.88 -2.66 -2.49 -2.36

Penske Automotive Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.45 -2.47 -2.36 -2.48

Competitive Comparison of Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Penske Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Penske Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Penske Automotive Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0982+0.528 * 1.0374+0.404 * 0.9689+0.892 * 1.0517+0.115 * 0.9587
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9987+4.679 * -0.029263-0.327 * 1.0041
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,063 Mil.
Revenue was 7447.8 + 7272.1 + 7447.8 + 7468.5 = $29,636 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1245.2 + 1188.1 + 1220.4 + 1273 = $4,927 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,811 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,147 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,304 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,436 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,910 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,869 Mil.
Net Income was 215.2 + 190.7 + 263.4 + 300.8 = $970 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 33.3 + 11.4 + 85 + 74.5 = $204 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 456 + 71.4 + 417.7 + 293.3 = $1,238 Mil.
Total Receivables was $920 Mil.
Revenue was 7339 + 7011.8 + 6920.7 + 6906.9 = $28,178 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1252.3 + 1183.2 + 1186.9 + 1237 = $4,859 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,823 Mil.
Total Assets was $14,396 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,942 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,271 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,761 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,922 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1062.8 / 29636.2) / (920.2 / 28178.4)
=0.035862 / 0.032656
=1.0982

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4859.4 / 28178.4) / (4926.7 / 29636.2)
=0.172451 / 0.166239
=1.0374

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5810.6 + 5303.9) / 16146.5) / (1 - (4822.9 + 4942.4) / 14395.8)
=0.311646 / 0.321656
=0.9689

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=29636.2 / 28178.4
=1.0517

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(129.3 / (129.3 + 4942.4)) / (144.9 / (144.9 + 5303.9))
=0.025494 / 0.026593
=0.9587

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3435.5 / 29636.2) / (3270.8 / 28178.4)
=0.115922 / 0.116075
=0.9987

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3869.3 + 5910.1) / 16146.5) / ((3922.3 + 4760.9) / 14395.8)
=0.605667 / 0.603176
=1.0041

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(970.1 - 204.2 - 1238.4) / 16146.5
=-0.029263

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Penske Automotive Group has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Penske Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Penske Automotive Group (Penske Automotive Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2555 Telegraph Road, Bloomfield Hills, MI, USA, 48302-0954
Penske Automotive Group operates in about 20 U.S. states and overseas. It has about 150 U.S. light-vehicle stores including in Puerto Rico as well as 189 franchised dealerships overseas, primarily in the United Kingdom. The company is the second-largest U.S.-based dealership in terms of light-vehicle revenue and sells more than 35 brands, with over 90% of retail automotive revenue coming from luxury and import names. Other services, in addition to new and used vehicles, are parts and repair and finance and insurance. The firm's Premier Truck Group owns 44 truck dealerships selling mostly Freightliner and Western Star brands, and Penske owns 20 CarShop used-vehicle stores in the U.S. and U.K. The company is based in Michigan and was called United Auto Group before changing its name in 2007.
Executives
Sandra E. Pierce director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD., BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Kurnick Robert H Jr director, officer: President 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302-0954
John Barr director 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302-0954
Michelle Hulgrave officer: EVP & CFO 2555 TELEGRAPH RD., BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Shane M. Spradlin officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. 2555 TELEGRAPH RD., BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Kimberly J Mcwaters director 20410 NORTH 19TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Lisa Ann Davis director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Greg C Smith director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, 21175 OAKWOOD BLVD, DEARBORN MI 48124
Denker Claude H Iii officer: EVP - Human Resources 2555 TELEGRAPH RD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Roger S Penske director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chair & CEO 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302-0954
H Brian Thompson director 1950 OLD GALLOWS ROAD SUITE 201, VIENNA VA 22182
Ronald G Steinhart director 3890 WEST NORTHWEST HIGHWAY SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75220
Michael R Eisenson director C/O CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS, 600 ATLANTIC AV 28TH FL, BOSTON MA 02210
Gregory W Penske director 3534 NORTH PECK ROAD, EL MONTE CA 91731
Wolfgang Duerheimer director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302