Beam Therapeutics (Beam Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is Beam Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Beam Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Beam Therapeutics (Beam Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Beam Therapeutics Inc (NAS:BEAM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

BEAM:Mexico

Address

238 Main Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142

Website

https://www.beamtx.com

Beam Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology company engaged in creating genetic medicines based on its base editing technology. This technology enables a new class of genetic medicines that targets a single base in the genome without making a double-stranded break in the DNA. The company's portfolio comprises Gene Correction, Gene Modification, Gene Activation, Gene Silencing, and Multiplex Editing.

Executives

Christine Bellon	officer: Chief Legal Officer	BEAM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 238 MAIN STREET, 9TH FL., CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Amy Simon	officer: Chief Medical Officer	BEAM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 238 MAIN STREET, 9TH FL., CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Giuseppe Ciaramella	officer: President & CSO	C/O BEAM THERAPEUTICS INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
John M. Evans	director, officer: CEO	C/O BEAM THERAPEUTICS INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Terry-ann Burrell	officer: CFO	C/O BEAM THERAPEUTICS INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Fmr Llc	10 percent owner, other: See Remark 1	245 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
John Maraganore	director	75 SIDNEY ST, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Graham K Cooper	director	C/O RECEPTOS, INC., 10835 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 205, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Kathleen E Walsh	director	C/O LIFEMD, INC., 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Arch Venture Fund Ix Overage, L.p.	10 percent owner	8725 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 290, CHICAGO IL 60631
Stephen C Knight	director	C/O EPIX MEDICAL INC, 71 ROGERS ST, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Mark Fishman	director	C/O BEAM THERAPEUTICS INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Arch Venture Partners Ix, Llc	10 percent owner	8755 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 1025, CHICAGO IL 60631
Arch Venture Partners Ix, L.p.	10 percent owner	8755 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 1025, CHICAGO IL 60631
Arch Venture Partners Ix Overage, L.p.	10 percent owner	8755 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 1025, CHICAGO IL 60631