DigitalBridge Group (DigitalBridge Group) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

What is DigitalBridge Group Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DigitalBridge Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

DigitalBridge Group Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DigitalBridge Group's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

DigitalBridge Group (DigitalBridge Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » DigitalBridge Group Inc (NYSE:DBRG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

DBRGpJ.PFD:USA DBRGpI.PFD:USA DBRGpH.PFD:USA 6CL:Germany 6CL:Germany

Address

750 Park of Commerce Drive, Suite 210, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33487

Website

https://www.digitalbridge.com

DigitalBridge Group Inc is a developer of alternative asset manager dedicated to investing in digital infrastructure. The company's platform invests in and operates businesses across the digital ecosystem, including cell towers, data centers, fiber, small cells, and edge infrastructure, to provide clients with funds for digital infrastructure real estate infrastructure.

Executives

James Keith Brown	director	C/O DIGITALBRIDGE GROUP, INC., 750 PARK OF COMMERCE DRIVE, SUITE 210, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Geoffrey Goldschein	officer: CLO and Secretary	C/O DIGITALBRIDGE GROUP, INC., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Benjamin J. Jenkins	officer: President & CIO	C/O DIGITALBRIDGE GROUP, INC., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Liam Stewart	officer: Chief Operating Officer	125 W. 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Marc C Ganzi	director, officer: CEO & President	515 SOUTH FLOWER ST, 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
David Tolley	director	C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Jacky Wu	officer: CFO & Treasurer	515 SOUTH FLOWER ST, 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Sonia Kim	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	515 SOUTH FLOWER ST, 44TH FL, C/O COLONY CAPITAL, INC., LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Shaka Rasheed	director	DIGITALBRIDGE GROUP, INC., 750 PARK OF COMMERCE DRIVE, SUITE 210, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Carter J Braxton Ii	director	C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Gregory James Mccray	director	422 HANDEL COURT, WHEATON IL 60187
Mark M. Hedstrom	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Ronald M. Sanders	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Jeannie Diefenderfer	director	C/O MRV COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 20415 NORDHOFF STREET, CHATSWORTH CA 91311
Craig M Hatkoff	director	ONE WEST 72ND STREET, NEWYORK NY 10023