Cypress Semiconductor (Cypress Semiconductor) Predictability Rank

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What is Cypress Semiconductor Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cypress Semiconductor Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Cypress Semiconductor Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Cypress Semiconductor (Cypress Semiconductor) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Cypress Semiconductor Corp (NAS:CY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

198 Champion Court, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134

Website

https://www.cypress.com

Cypress Semiconductor is a provider of advanced embedded systems used in a variety of markets, including industrial, consumer, data communications, and automotive.

Executives

Camillo Martino	director	60 SOUTH MARKET STREET, STE 750, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Catherine P Lego	director	C/O GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC., 970 PARK PL, SUITE 200, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Michael S Wishart	director	SPANSION INC., 915 DEGUIGNE DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94085-3836
W Steve Albrecht	director	3901 NO FIRST ST, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jeannine P Sargent	director	C/O VEECO INSTRUMENTS INC., 100 SUNNYSIDE BOULEVARD SUITE B, WOODBURY NY 11797
Pamela L. Tondreau	officer: EVP, Chief Legal Officer & HR	198 CHAMPION COURT, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jeffrey J Owens	director	5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
J Daniel Mccranie	director	C/O ENOVIX CORPORATION, 3501 W. WARREN AVENUE, FREMONT CA 94538
Eric Benhamou	director	350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
H Raymond Bingham	director, officer: Executive Chairman	2655 SEELY AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Thurman J Rodgers	director	535 EASTVIEW WAY, WOODSIDE CA 94062
John H Kispert	director
Mao Robert Yu Lang	director	2218 JACKSON AVENUE, APT 718, LONG ISLAND NY 11101
J Donald Sherman	director	C/O CITRIX SYSTEMS, INC., 851 WEST CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman	officer: Executive Vice President	ENPHASE ENERGY INC., 1420 NORTH MCDOWELL BLVD, PETALUMA CA 94954