DHI Group (DHI Group) Predictability Rank

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What is DHI Group Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DHI Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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DHI Group (DHI Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » DHI Group Inc (NYSE:DHX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

32D:Germany

Address

6465 South Greenwood Plaza, Suite 400, Centennial, CO, USA, 80111

Website

https://www.dhigroupinc.com

DHI Group Inc is a provider of artificial intelligence-powered software products, online tools and services to deliver career marketplaces to candidates and employers globally. DHI's brands — Dice and ClearanceJobs enable recruiters and hiring managers to efficiently search, match and connect with skilled technologists in specialized fields, particularly technology and those with active government security clearances. The company derive the majority of revenue from customers who pay fees, either annually, quarterly or monthly, to post jobs on websites and to access searchable databases of resumes, majority revenue being from Dice.

Executives

Evan Lesser	officer: President of ClearanceJobs	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 6465 SOUTH GREENWOOD PLAZA, SUITE 400, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Muhle Raime Leeby	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 6465 SOUTH GREENWOOD PLAZA, SUITE 400, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Amy Heidersbach	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 6465 SOUTH GREENWOOD PLAZA, SUITE 400, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Massaquoi Joseph G Jr	director	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 6465 SOUTH GREENWOOD PLAZA, SUITE 400, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Kathleen M. Swann	director	PURPOSE GLOBAL PBC, 115 5TH AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Carol W. Carpenter	director	1040 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Elizabeth B. Salomon	director	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 6465 SOUTH GREENWOOD PLAZA, SUITE 400, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Golnar Sheikholeslami	director	1040 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Scipio Maximus Carnecchia	director	C/O MITEK SYSTEMS, INC., 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Kevin Franklin Bostick	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 1450 BROADWAY, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Arie Kanofsky	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O MAXIM GROUP, 199 CROSSWAY PARK DR, WOODBURY NY 11797
Chris Henderson	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 1450 BROADWAY, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
David Windley	director	701 N. LILAC DRIVE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55422
Paul Farnsworth	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 1450 BROADWAY, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019-6064
Michelle Marian	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O DHI GROUP, INC., 1040 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK, NY 10018