MiMedx Group (MiMedx Group) Predictability Rank

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What is MiMedx Group Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

MiMedx Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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MiMedx Group (MiMedx Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » MiMedx Group Inc (NAS:MDXG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1775 West Oak Commons Court, NE, Marietta, GA, USA, 30062

Website

https://www.mimedx.com

MiMedx Group Inc develops and markets regenerative biomaterial products and bioimplants made from the human amniotic membrane, birth tissues, and human skin & bone. Its products are primarily targeted towards the wound-care, burn, surgical, sports medicine, and orthopedics markets. MiMedx's key products are allografts processed from amniotic tissue, which include EpiFix for external use and AmnioFix for internal use. AmnioCord, AmnioFill, EpiBurn, and EpiCord are some of its other products. Also, MiMedx sells allografts for ophthalmic surgery and dental applications through licenses to third parties.

Executives

Rice Doug	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3451 PLANO PARKWAY, LEWISVILLE TX 75056
Joseph H Capper	officer: Chief Executive Officer	BIOTELEMETRY, INC., 1000 CEDAR HOLLOW ROAD, #102, MALVERN PA 19355
Robert Benjamin Stein	officer: EVP, Research and Development	C/O AGENUS INC., 3 FORBES ROAD, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Peter M Carlson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	BRIGHTHOUSE FINANCIAL, INC., 11225 NORTH COMMUNITY HOUSE ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
William Lawrence Phelan	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	1775 WEST OAK COMMONS COURT NE, MARIETTA GA 30062
Hulse William Frank Iv	officer: General Counsel	1775 WEST OAK COMMONS COURT NE, MARIETTA GA 30062
Ricci S Whitlow	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873
Rohit Kashyap	officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer	8023 VANTAGE DRIVE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78230
Timothy R Wright	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O CURAXIS, 1004 CHAGFORD WAY, RALEIGH NC 27614
Mark Graves	officer: SVP & Chief Compliance Officer	1775 WEST OAK COMMONS COURT, MARIETTA GA 30062
Scott M Turner	officer: SVP, Operations & Procurement	1775 WEST OAK COMMONS COURT, MARIETTA GA 30062
Phyllis Gardner	director	618 MIRADA AVENUE, STANFORD CA 94305
Michael J Giuliani	director	1775 WEST OAK COMMONS COURT NE, MARIETTA GA 30062
Cato T Laurencin	director	C/O UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT, 263 FARMINGTON AVENUE, FARMINGTON CT 06030-3800
William A Hawkins	director	MEDTRONIC INC, 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC310, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432-5604