Regal Entertainment Group (Regal Entertainment Group) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2002. Start your Free Trial

What is Regal Entertainment Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Regal Entertainment Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Regal Entertainment Group Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Regal Entertainment Group's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Regal Entertainment Group (Regal Entertainment Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Regal Entertainment Group (NYSE:RGC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.regmovies.com

Regal is the largest movie theater circuit in the United States.Â It operates more than 6,300 screens in 39 states, including 44 of the top 50 designated market areas. Regal generated nearly $3 billion of revenue, approximately 70% of which was from ticket sales, 25% from concessions sales, and the remaining 5% from other streams, such as on-screen advertising and in-lobby video games. Most of Regal's theaters are located in midsize cities and suburban areas of larger cities.

Executives

Amy E Miles	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
David H Keyte	director	1615 WYNKOOP STREET, DENVER CO 80902
Lee M Thomas	director	133 PEACHTREE ST NE, 41ST FL, ATLANTA GA 30303
Alex Yemenidjian	director	C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Bell Thomas D Jr	director
Charles E Brymer	director	437 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Philip F Anschutz	10 percent owner	2400 ANACONDA TOWER 555 SEVENTEENTH ST, C/O ANSCHUTZ CO STE 2400, DENVER CO 80202
Michael L Campbell	director	7132 REGAL LANE, KNOXVILLE TN 37918
Peter B Brandow	officer: EVP, General Counsel, Sec.	C/O REGAL ENTERTAINMENT GROUP, 7132 REGAL LANDE, KNOXVILLE TN 37918
Stephen A Kaplan	director	333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Anschutz Co	10 percent owner	555 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 2400, DENVER CO 80202
Oaktree Capital Management Lp	10 percent owner	333 S GRAND AVE 28TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Ocm Principal Opportunities Fund Ii Lp	10 percent owner
Kurt C Hall	other: Former Co-Chairman and Co-CEO	C/O REGAL ENTERTAINMENT GROUP, 7132 REGAL LANDE, KNOXVILLE TN 37918
Michael J Dolan	director	C/O MATTEL INC, 333 CONTINENTAL BLVD M-1518, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245