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Rose Rock Midstream LP (Rose Rock Midstream LP) Predictability Rank


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What is Rose Rock Midstream LP Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Rose Rock Midstream LP Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Rose Rock Midstream LP Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Rose Rock Midstream LP (Rose Rock Midstream LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Rose Rock Midstream LP is a Delaware limited partnership formed in 2011. The Company is engaged in the business of crude oil gathering, transportation, storage, distribution and marketing in Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wyoming. We operate in the Bakken Shale in North Dakota and Montana, the Denver-Julesburg Basin ("DJ Basin") and the Niobrara Shale in the Rocky Mountain region, and the Granite Wash and Mississippi Lime Play in the Mid-Continent region. The Company's operating business segments are Transportation, Facilities, and Supply & Logistics. The Transportation segment operates crude oil pipelines and truck transportation businesses. The Facilities segment operates crude oil storage and terminal businesses. The Supply and Logistics segment operates a crude oil marketing business which utilizes our Transportation and Facilities assets for marketing purposes. Its competitors include Cushing include Blueknight Energy Partners, L.P., Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P., Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Magellan Midstream Partners, L.P. and Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. The Company' operations are subject to extensive regulation.
Executives
Carlin G. Conner director, officer: President and CEO of GP 6120 SOUTH YALE AVE., SUITE 1500, TULSA OK 74136
Ronald A Ballschmiede director 1800 HUGHES LANDING BLVD, SUITE 250, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Semgroup Corp director, 10 percent owner TWO WARREN PLACE, 6120 SOUTH YALE AVENUE, SUITE 1500, TULSA OK 74136-4231
Candice L Cheeseman officer: VP and General Counsel of GP 6120 SOUTH YALE AVE., SUITE 1500, TULSA OK 74136
Peter L Schwiering director, officer: COO of GP 6120 SOUTH YALE AVENUE, SUITE 700, TULSA OK 74136
Mark E Monroe director 7130 S LEWIS 10TH FL, TULSA OK 74136
Paul Largess officer: VP, CAO & Controller of GP 6120 S YALE STE 700, TULSA OK 74136
Norman J Szydlowski director, officer: Pres., CEO & Director of GP 6120 S. YALE, SUITE 700, TULSA OK 74136

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