Synchronoss Technologies (Synchronoss Technologies) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

What is Synchronoss Technologies Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Synchronoss Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Synchronoss Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Synchronoss Technologies's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Synchronoss Technologies (Synchronoss Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Synchronoss Technologies Inc (NAS:SNCR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

H6K0:Germany

Address

200 Crossing Boulevard, 3rd Floor, Bridgewater, NJ, USA, 08807

Website

https://www.synchronoss.com

Synchronoss Technologies Inc is a provider of cloud- and software-based activation solutions for mobile carriers, enterprises, retailers, and original equipment manufacturers. These solutions are delivered through the Activation Services, Synchronoss Personal Cloud, Enterprise, and Integrated Life platforms, which are scalable and available on-demand. The firm's solutions include activation and processing, cloud-based sync, backup, storage, and content engagement capabilities. The company derives revenue from subscriptions and transaction-based fees. A majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States, and the rest is from countries across the world.

Executives

Laurie Harris	director	C/O SYNCHRONOSS TECHNOLOGIES INC., 200 CROSSING BOULEVARD, BRIDGEWATER TOWNSHIP NJ 08807
B. Riley Financial, Inc.	10 percent owner	11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Martin Francis Bernstein	director	C/O B. RILEY FINANCIAL, INC., 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Kristin S. Rinne	director	C/O SYNCHRONOSS TECHNOLOGIES INC., 200 CROSSING BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Jeffrey George Miller	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O SYNCHRONOSS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 200 CROSSING BLVD., 8TH FLOOR, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Lou Ferraro	officer: EVP and CFO	200 CROSSING BLVD., 8TH FLOOR, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Christopher K. Hill	officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer	200 CROSSING BLVD., 8TH FLOOR, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Patrick Joseph Doran	officer: EVP & Chief Technology Officer	750 ROUTE 202 SOUTH, SUITE 600, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Christina Gabrys	officer: SVP and CLO	200 CROSSING BLVD., 8TH FLOOR, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Stephen G Waldis	director, officer: President & C.E.O.	750 ROUTE 202 SOUTH, SUITE 600, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Taylor C Greenwald	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SYNCHRONOSS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 200 CROSSING BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
David D Clark	officer: Chief Financial Officer	FORT WASHINGTON EXECUTIVE CENTER, 600 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Brc Partners Opportunity Fund, Lp	10 percent owner	11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD. SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
B. Riley Capital Management, Llc	10 percent owner	11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Brc Partners Management Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025