TTEC Holdings (TTEC Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is TTEC Holdings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TTEC Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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TTEC Holdings (TTEC Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » TTEC Holdings Inc (NAS:TTEC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

TH1:Germany TH1:Germany

Address

9197 South Peoria Street, Englewood, CO, USA, 80112

Website

https://www.ttec.com

TTEC Holdings Inc provides customer engagement management tools and services. The company operates through four operating segments that are organized into two groups, TTEC Digital and TTEC Engage. TTEC Digital is engaged in building and implementing cloud-based and on-premises customer experience tools that enable clients to develop customer engagement strategies. TTEC Engage focuses on delivering sales and marketing solutions to help clients boost their revenue as well as on managing customer's front-to-back office processes to optimize the customer experience. TTEC Engage contributes the vast majority of the company's revenue, and most of the sales are derived from the United States and Canada, followed by Philippines, Asia-Pacific and India.

Executives

Marc Holtzman	director	600 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 2800, DENVER CO 80202
Francois Bourret	officer: Interim CFO	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
David J. Seybold	officer: CEO, TTEC Digital	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Michelle R Swanback	officer: CEO, TTEC Engage	7001 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, DENVER CO 80237
Gregory A Conley	director	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Margaret B Mclean	officer: SVP, GC, CRO & Corp. Sec.	9191 SOUTH JAMAICA STREET, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Dustin J. Semach	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1 FANATICAL PLACE, CITY OF WINDCREST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Kenneth D Tuchman	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & Chairman of the Board	C/O MARGARET MCLEAN, TTEC HOLDINGS INC, 9197 SOUTH PEORIA STREET, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Robert N Frerichs	director	C/O TTEC HOLDINGS, INC., 9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Gina Loften	director	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
George Demou	officer: President, TTEC Digital	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Richard Sean Erickson	officer: SVP, Global Head-TTEC Engage	9197 S. PEORIA ST., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Judi Hand	officer: EVP, Chief Sales Officer	9197 S. PEORIA STREET, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Martin F Deghetto	officer: EVP, Global Operations	9197 SOUTH PEORIA STREET, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Tracy L Bahl	director