UTStarcom Holdings (UTStarcom Holdings) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2000. Start your Free Trial

What is UTStarcom Holdings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

UTStarcom Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

UTStarcom Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of UTStarcom Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

UTStarcom Holdings (UTStarcom Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » UTStarcom Holdings Corp (NAS:UTSI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

UT5:Germany

Address

368 Liuhe Road, 4th Floor, South Wing, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, CHN, 310052

Website

https://www.utstar.com

UTStarcom Holdings Corp operates as a telecom infrastructure provider. It develops technology for bandwidth from cloud-based services, mobile, streaming, and other applications. The range of solutions is designed to expand and modernize telecommunications networks through smooth network system integration, lower operating costs, and increased broadband access. The business activity of the firm is operated through the Equipment and Service segment. The Equipment segment is focused on equipment sales, including network infrastructure and application products, and the Service segment is engaged in providing services and support of equipment products and also the new operational support. The company operates in China, India, Japan, Taiwan, and other countries.

Executives

Softbank Group Corp	10 percent owner	1-7-1 KAIGAN, MINATO-KU, TOKYO M0 105-7537
Softbank America Inc	10 percent owner	300 DELAWARE AVENUE, SUITE 900, WILMINGTON DE 19801
Softbank Holdings Inc Et Al	10 percent owner
Capital Management Shah	10 percent owner	8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 630, RALEIGH NC 27615
Ying (jack) Lu	officer: Senior VP & COO	UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PKWY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Linzhen Xie	director	EAST THIRD RING ROAD, 11TH FLOOR, B TOWER, NO. 36 NORTH, BEIJING F4 100013
Wong William Shiu Kau	director	C/O UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PKWY., ALAMEDA CA 94502
Xiaoping Li	director	C/O UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PKWY., ALAMEDA CA 94502
Baichuan Du	director	ROOM 1504, BUILDING 7, NO. 1504, NO. 2 GUANG AN MEN, BEI BING HE RD., WEST DISTRICT BEIJING F4 100045
Peter Blackmore	officer: President & COO	UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Hong Liang Lu	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O UTSTARCOM INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Edmond Cheng	officer: Senior VP and CFO	C/O UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Henry Li	officer: SVP and General Counsel	C/O UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Viraj J Patel	officer: VP, Corp. Controller and CAO	100 CANAL POINTE BLVD., SUITE 108, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Kenneth Luk	officer: Senior VP and CFO	C/O UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502