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Novagold Resources (Novagold Resources) Altman Z2-Score : -48.92 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Novagold Resources Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Novagold Resources has a Altman Z2-Score of -48.92, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -48.93   Med: -18.79   Max: -4.06
Current: -48.93

During the past 13 years, Novagold Resources's highest Altman Z2-Score was -4.06. The lowest was -48.93. And the median was -18.79.


Novagold Resources Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Novagold Resources Altman Z2-Score Chart

Novagold Resources Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -20.26 -22.07 -27.15 -36.72 -46.04

Novagold Resources Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -39.23 -42.35 -44.05 -46.04 -48.93

Competitive Comparison of Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Novagold Resources Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Novagold Resources's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.9304+3.26*-16.3112+6.72*-0.2576+1.05*-0.1127
=-48.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was $126.88 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $119.89 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1.83 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,069.63 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -10.218 + -10.457 + -11.074 + -14.649 = $-46.40 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.597 + -3.474 + -3.433 + -3.212 = $-13.72 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $143.00 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(119.892 - 1.833)/126.884
=0.9304

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2069.629/126.884
=-16.3112

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-46.398 - -13.716)/126.884
=-0.2576

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-16.117 - 0)/143.001
=-0.1127

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Novagold Resources has a Altman Z2-Score of -48.92 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Novagold Resources  (AMEX:NG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Novagold Resources Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Novagold Resources (Novagold Resources) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
201 South Main Street, Suite 400, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 84111
Novagold Resources Inc is a mineral exploration company engaged in the exploration and development of mineral properties. The company owns 50% of the Donlin Gold project, which is located in southwestern Alaska, approximately 20 kilometers north of the village of Crooked Creek on the Kuskokwim River.
Executives
Gregory A. Lang director, officer: President & CEO C/O TRILOGY METALS INC., 1950 - 777 DUNSMUIR STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V7Y 1K4
Kalidas V Madhavpeddi director 511 ARROYO SQ, SOUTH PASADENA CA 91030
Diane R Garrett director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Ethan Schutt director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Anthony P. Walsh director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Dawn Patricia Whittaker director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Hume D. Kyle director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Quintanilla Daniel Muniz director C/O SOUTHERN COPPER CORPORATION, 11811 NORTH TATUM BLVD., SUITE 2500, PHOENIX AZ 85028
Sharon Dowdall director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
David A. Ottewell officer: Vice President & CFO C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Clynton R. Nauman director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
C. Kevin Mcarthur director 1144 15TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Igor Levental director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Elaine J Dorward-king director 6363 SOUTH FIDDLER'S GREEN CIRCLE, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
David Deisley officer: Exec. VP & General Counsel C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111