GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Agriculture » Origin Agritech Ltd (NAS:SEED) » Definitions » Altman Z2-Score

Origin Agritech (Origin Agritech) Altman Z2-Score : -11.33 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is Origin Agritech Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Origin Agritech has a Altman Z2-Score of -11.33, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SEED' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -37.56   Med: -9.93   Max: -0.63
Current: -11.33

During the past 13 years, Origin Agritech's highest Altman Z2-Score was -0.63. The lowest was -37.56. And the median was -9.93.


Origin Agritech Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Origin Agritech Altman Z2-Score Chart

Origin Agritech Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -12.04 -12.83 -37.56 -25.88 -11.33

Origin Agritech Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -37.56 - -25.88 - -11.33

Competitive Comparison of Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Origin Agritech Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.7198+3.26*-2.5223+6.72*0.2676+1.05*-0.1795
=-11.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was $32.68 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $19.43 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $42.95 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-82.43 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $8.61 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-0.14 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $43.82 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(19.428 - 42.952)/32.681
=-0.7198

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-82.43/32.681
=-2.5223

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(8.609 - -0.135)/32.681
=0.2676

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-7.865 - 0)/43.816
=-0.1795

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Origin Agritech has a Altman Z2-Score of -11.33 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Origin Agritech  (NAS:SEED) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Origin Agritech Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Origin Agritech's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Origin Agritech (Origin Agritech) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 21 Sheng Ming Yuan Road, Changping District, Beijing, CHN, 102206
Origin Agritech Ltd is a Chinese agricultural technology company. In crop seed biotechnologies, the company's phytase corn was the first transgenic corn to receive the Bio-Safety Certificate from China's Ministry of Agriculture. Origin has established a robust biotechnology seed pipeline including products with glyphosate tolerance and pest resistance (Bt) traits.
Executives
Jeff Feinberg 10 percent owner 20600 NORTHRIDGE ROAD, CHATSWORTH CA 91311
Steven Urbach director C/O CHARDAN CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC, 17 STATE STREET, SUITE 2575, NEW YORK NY 10004
Michael D Chermak director
Gengchen Han director, officer: Chairman of the Board and CEO 21 SHENGMINGYUAN RD, CHANGPING DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 102206
Bailiang Zhang director 95 WENHUA RD., HENAN AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY, ZHENGZHOU F4 450002
Dafang Huang director BIOTECHNOLOGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE, 12 ZHONGGUANCUN SOUTH AVE., BEIJING F4 100081
Remo Richli director IM NEUHOF 28, EMMENBRUCKE V8 6020
Richard D Propper officer: VP for Corporate Development
Kerry Propper director CHARDAN CHINA ACQUISITION CORP, 777 SOUTH HIGHWAY 101, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Yasheng Yang director, officer: President, Treasurer, COO 21 SHENGMINGYUAN RD, CHANGPING DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 102206
Liang Yuan director, officer: Executive Vice Chairman 21 SHENGMINGYUAN RD, CHANGPING DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 102206