GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Vehicles & Parts » American Axle & Mfg Holdings Inc (NYSE:AXL) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

American Axle & Mfg Holdings (American Axle & Mfg Holdings) Altman Z-Score : 1.46 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1999. Start your Free Trial

What is American Axle & Mfg Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.46 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

American Axle & Mfg Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.46, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AXL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 1.44   Max: 2.24
Current: 1.46

During the past 13 years, American Axle & Mfg Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.24. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 1.44.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Axle & Mfg Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

American Axle & Mfg Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.16 0.78 1.25 1.43 1.48

American Axle & Mfg Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.43 1.44 1.48 1.45 1.48

Competitive Comparison of American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



American Axle & Mfg Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1503+1.4*-0.0529+3.3*0.0331+0.6*0.1853+1.0*1.135
=1.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $5,356 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,007 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,202 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-283 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -13.3 + -19.4 + 13.3 + -5.1 = $-25 Mil.
Interest Expense was -50.2 + -50.8 + -50.2 + -50.5 = $-202 Mil.
Revenue was 1463 + 1551.9 + 1570.7 + 1493.9 = $6,080 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $880 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,751 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2006.6 - 1201.6)/5356.3
=0.1503

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-283.2/5356.3
=-0.0529

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-24.5 - -201.7)/5356.3
=0.0331

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=880.372/4751.4
=0.1853

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6079.5/5356.3
=1.135

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

American Axle & Mfg Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.46 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings  (NYSE:AXL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings (American Axle & Mfg Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Dauch Drive, Detroit, MI, USA, 48211-1198
American Axle & Mfg Holdings Inc is engaged in manufacturing, engineering, designing and validation of driveline systems and related components and chassis modules for light trucks, SUVs, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The company's segment includes Driveline and Metal Forming. It generates maximum revenue from the Driveline segment.
Executives
Terri M. Kemp officer: Senior VP Human Resources ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Matthew K. Paroly officer: VP & General Counsel ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Norman Willemse officer: VP, Metal Form Prod. Bus. Unit ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211-1198
James A Mccaslin director
Herbert K Parker director 38505 WOODWARD AVENUE, SUITE 200, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
John F. Smith director ONE DAUCH DR., DETROIT MI 48211
Tolga I Oal officer: President, AAM North America 201 ISABELLA STREET, PITTSTBURGH PA 15212
Alberto L Satine officer: VP-Procurement ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Sandra E. Pierce director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD., BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Miller William P Ii director 20 S. WACKER DR., CHICAGO IL 60606
Michael Joseph Lynch officer: VP Finance & Controller ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Michael K Simonte officer: VP & Treasurer ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211-1198
Bowes Timothy Earl Joseph officer: Senior VP Corporate Planning 2135 WEST MAPLE ROAD, TROY MI 48084
Elizabeth Anne Chappell director ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Christopher John May officer: VP & CFO ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211