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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 1.99 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.
Gulf Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 1.99, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Gulf Resources is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, Gulf Resources's highest Altman Z-Score was 9.58. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 3.76.
The historical data trend for Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Gulf Resources Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec13 | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | |||||||||||
Altman Z-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 5.49 | 2.03 | 2.69 | 2.59 | 2.67 |
Gulf Resources Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec18 | Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | |
Altman Z-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 2.73 | 2.67 | 2.54 | 2.61 | 2.11 |
For the Chemicals subindustry, Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z | = | 1.2 | * | X1 | + | 1.4 | * | X2 | + | 3.3 | * | X3 | + | 0.6 | * | X4 | + | 1.0 | * | X5 |
= | 1.2 | * | 0.3767 | + | 1.4 | * | 0.6517 | + | 3.3 | * | -0.0152 | + | 0.6 | * | 0.8727 | + | 1.0 | * | 0.1497 | |
= | 1.99 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was $278.89 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $114.94 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9.87 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $181.74 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -2.259 + -0.875 + -0.758 + -0.459 = $-4.35 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.024 + -0.028 + -0.03 + -0.027 = $-0.11 Mil.
Revenue was 5.866 + 8.006 + 9.302 + 18.589 = $41.76 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $15.86 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $18.17 Mil.
* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.
X1 | = | Working Capital | / | Total Assets |
= | (Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities) | / | Total Assets | |
= | (114.938 - 9.871) | / | 278.893 | |
= | 0.3767 |
X2 | = | Retained Earnings | / | Total Assets |
= | 181.741 | / | 278.893 | |
= | 0.6517 |
X3 | = | Earnings Before Interest and Taxes | / | Total Assets |
= | (Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense) | / | Total Assets | |
= | (-4.351 - -0.109) | / | 278.893 | |
= | -0.0152 |
X4 | = | Market Value Equity | / | Book Value of Total Liabilities |
= | Market Cap | / | Total Liabilities | |
= | 15.857 | / | 18.17 | |
= | 0.8727 |
X5 | = | Revenue | / | Total Assets |
= | 41.763 | / | 278.893 | |
= | 0.1497 |
The zones of discrimination were as such:
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Gulf Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 1.99 indicating it is in Grey Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Gulf Resources (NAS:GURE) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.
Be Aware
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gulf Resources's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Xiaobin Liu | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | GULF RESOURCES, INC. NO.99 WENCHANG ROAD, CHENMING INDUSTRIAL PARK, SHOUGUANG CITY F4 262714 |
Naihui Miao | officer: COO and Secretary | GULF RESOURCES INC. NO.99, WENCHANG ROAD, CHENMING INDUSTRIAL PARK, SHOUGUANG CITY F4 262714 |
Min Li | director, officer: Chief Financial Officer | CHEMING INDUSTRIAL PARK UNIT, HAOYUAN CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHAN F4 F4 262714 |
Tengfei Zhang | director | C/O GULF RESOURCES, INC. 99 WENCHANG RD., CHENMING INDUSTRIAL PARK, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHANDONG F4 262714 |
Shengwei Ma | director | LEVEL 11, VEGETABLE BUILDING, INDUSTRIAL PARK OF THE EAST CITY, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHANGDON PROVI F4 262700 |
Shitong Jiang | director | GULF RESOURCES, INC. NO.99 WENCHANG ROAD, CHENMING INDUSTRIAL PARK, SHOUGUANG CITY F4 262714 |
Yang Zou | director | C/O GULF RESOURCES, INC., 99 WENCHANG RD, CHENMING INDUSTRIAL PARK, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHANDONG F4 262714 |
Nan Li | director | C/O GULF RESOURCES, INC., 99 WENCHANG RD, CHENMING INDUSTRIAL PARK, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHANDONG F4 262714 |
Ming Yang | 10 percent owner | NO. 501 BO HAI ROAD, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHANDONG F4 262700 |
Weijie Chen | 10 percent owner | NORTH WEIGAO ROAD, LUOCHENG SUB-DISTRICT OFFICE, SHOUGUANG F4 262700 |
Hap Trading, Llc | 10 percent owner | 395 HUDSON STREET, SUITE 701, NEW YORK NY 10014 |
Vignolo Biagio M Jr | director | 1 WHITEHALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004 |
Richard Khaleel | director | 110 RIVERSIDE DRIVE, APT 3E, NEW YORK NY 10024 |
Shandong Haoyuan Industry Group Ltd | 10 percent owner | WO PU TOWN, QING HE OIL EXTRACTION PLANT, 2ND LIVING DISTRICT, SHOUGUANG CITY F4 51800 |
Wenxiang Yu | 10 percent owner | NO. 108 SHENG CHENG ROAD, BUILDING NO. 1, UNIT 3, ROOM 402, SHOUGUANG CITY, SHAN F4 262700 |
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