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Next (LSE:NXT) Altman Z-Score : 5.45 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Next Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 5.46 is strong.

Next has a Altman Z-Score of 5.45, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Next's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:NXT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.05   Med: 5.29   Max: 7.87
Current: 5.46

During the past 13 years, Next's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.87. The lowest was 4.05. And the median was 5.29.


Next Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Next's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Next Altman Z-Score Chart

Next Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.79 4.55 5.25 5.27 5.31

Next Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.25 - 5.27 - 5.31

Competitive Comparison of Next's Altman Z-Score

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Next's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Next's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Next's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Next's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Next Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Next's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2544+1.4*0.6924+3.3*0.2335+0.6*3.7345+1.0*1.1623
=5.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was £4,724 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £2,448 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £1,246 Mil.
Retained Earnings was £3,271 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was £1,016 Mil.
Interest Expense was £-88 Mil.
Revenue was £5,491 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was £11,523 Mil.
Total Liabilities was £3,086 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2447.7 - 1245.7)/4724.3
=0.2544

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3271.3/4724.3
=0.6924

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1015.8 - -87.5)/4724.3
=0.2335

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=11522.664/3085.5
=3.7345

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5491/4724.3
=1.1623

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Next has a Altman Z-Score of 5.45 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Next  (LSE:NXT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Next Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Next (LSE:NXT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Desford Road, Enderby, Leicester, GBR, LE19 4AT
Next PLC is a retailer that sells clothing, footwear, accessories, and home products. most of the company's offerings consist of its own Next-branded products. Almost all of Next's revenue comes from its hundreds of stores in the United Kingdom and through its online and catalog business that reaches dozens of other countries. most of the company's remaining sales are through retail stores outside of the United Kingdom that it franchises. Its segments include NEXT Online, NEXT Finance, NEXT Retail, NEXT International Retail, Sourcing and other, and Property Management. Roughly 90% of the company's revenue comes from customers in the United Kingdom.