The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
CTC Media has a Altman Z-Score of 4.50, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for CTC Media's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
CTC Media Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for CTC Media's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of CTC Media's Altman Z-Score
For the Broadcasting subindustry, CTC Media's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
CTC Media's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry
For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, CTC Media's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where CTC Media's Altman Z-Score falls into.
CTC Media Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
CTC Media's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.5595
+
1.4
*
-0.3503
+
3.3
*
-0.012
+
0.6
*
7.2706
+
1.0
*
-0
=
4.50
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
CTC Media has a Altman Z-Score of 4.50 indicating it is in Safe Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
CTC Media (NAS:CTCM) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
CTC Media Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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CTC Media Inc was incorporated in 1989 and commenced television operations in May 1994, initially broadcasting from its first owned-and-operated station in St. Petersburg to 22 cities across Russia as a superstation a single station that retransmits its signal to remote locations. In December 1996, the Company launched CTC, a national network broadcasting by satellite from its center in Moscow. The Company launched Domashny in March 2005 and acquired DTV in April 2008.Its TV channels are currently distributed by means of free-to-air terrestrial broadcasting in analog format. Its signals are broadcasted by the owned-and-operated stations and unmanned repeater transmitters according to local analog broadcast licenses and universal licenses for analog frequencies in the respective regions, as well as by its independent affiliate stations and local cable operators. In exchange for the right to broadcast its signal, the company allows its affiliates to broadcast local advertising during designated time windows, from which they derive revenues. At CTC's Domashny and DTV Networks it also pays fees to some independent affiliates of these networks for broadcasting the Domashny or DTV signal. The Company has four reportable segments: CTC Network, Domashny Network, Peretz Network, and Channel 31. The Company competes with other broadcasters and other forms of media for advertising spending, and with other broadcasters for audience share, programming rights, affiliate stations and broadcast frequencies in particular VHF frequencies in key markets. The Company has registered trademarks for the "CTC", "Domashny", "DTV" and "CTC Media" name and logo in the Russian Federation.
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