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Asbury Automotive Group (Asbury Automotive Group) Altman Z-Score : 2.66 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Asbury Automotive Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.66 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Asbury Automotive Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.66, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Asbury Automotive Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ABG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.35   Med: 4.03   Max: 5.14
Current: 2.66

During the past 13 years, Asbury Automotive Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.14. The lowest was 2.35. And the median was 4.03.


Asbury Automotive Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asbury Automotive Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Asbury Automotive Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.10 3.49 2.35 3.57 2.60

Asbury Automotive Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.56 3.59 3.54 2.60 2.70

Competitive Comparison of Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Asbury Automotive Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Asbury Automotive Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0163+1.4*0.3022+3.3*0.0941+0.6*0.6355+1.0*1.5221
=2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $10,132 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,922 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,757 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $3,062 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 195.8 + 75.6 + 226 + 261.1 = $759 Mil.
Interest Expense was -66.9 + -48.9 + -38.7 + -40.1 = $-195 Mil.
Revenue was 4201.3 + 3811.7 + 3666.2 + 3742.4 = $15,422 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $4,312 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,785 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2922.4 - 2757.4)/10131.5
=0.0163

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3061.5/10131.5
=0.3022

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(758.5 - -194.6)/10131.5
=0.0941

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4311.816/6784.6
=0.6355

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=15421.6/10131.5
=1.5221

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Asbury Automotive Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.66 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Asbury Automotive Group  (NYSE:ABG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Asbury Automotive Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Asbury Automotive Group (Asbury Automotive Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2905 Premiere Parkway North West, Suite 300, Duluth, GA, USA, 30097
Asbury Automotive Group is a regional collection of automobile dealerships that went public in March 2002. The company operates 138 new-vehicle stores, seven used-vehicle stores, and 32 collision centers. Over 70% of new-vehicle revenue is from luxury and import brands. Asbury also offers third-party financing and insurance products and its own F&I products via Total Care Auto. Asbury operates in 14 states (mostly Texas, the West, and the Southeast). Asbury store brands include David McDavid and Park Place in Texas, and the Larry H. Miller brand in the Western U.S. It plans to acquire Koons in the Washington, D.C. area in late 2023 or early 2024. Asbury generated $15.4 billion of revenue in 2022 and is based in the Atlanta area. The firm targets about $32 billion in 2025.
Executives
Daniel Clara officer: SVP, Operations C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, STE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Philip F Maritz director C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, STE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
George A Villasana officer: VP & General Counsel 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Miran Maric officer: SVP, Strategy & Innovation C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Bridget Ryan Berman director 161 FALCON ROAD, GUILFORD CT 06437
David W Hult officer: EVP & COO 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Jed Milstein officer: VP & CHRO 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Nathan Edward Briesemeister officer: VP, Controller & CAO C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Terry Hilliard C. Iii director ONE SW COLUMBIA ST STE 1200, PORTLAND OR 97258
Michael Welch officer: SVP & CFO C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
David C Abrams 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY ST., 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116