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NorthStar Realty Finance (NorthStar Realty Finance) Altman Z-Score : 0.19 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

NorthStar Realty Finance has a Altman Z-Score of 0.19, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z-Score Chart

NorthStar Realty Finance Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.29 0.09 0.37 0.22 0.23

NorthStar Realty Finance Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.20 0.23 0.18 0.11 0.16

Competitive Comparison of NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score falls into.



NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0994+1.4*-0.2163+3.3*0.0151+0.6*0.2918+1.0*0.1514
=0.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2016:
Total Assets was $13,365 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,699 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $370 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,891 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -105.284 + -125.984 + -164.194 + 110.651 = $-285 Mil.
Interest Expense was -114.296 + -119.48 + -126.662 + -126.113 = $-487 Mil.
Revenue was 496.719 + 507.932 + 506.327 + 512.492 = $2,023 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,916 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $9,990 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1699.243 - 370.13)/13364.889
=0.0994

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2891.153/13364.889
=-0.2163

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-284.811 - -486.551)/13364.889
=0.0151

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2915.530/9989.867
=0.2918

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2023.47/13364.889
=0.1514

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

NorthStar Realty Finance has a Altman Z-Score of 0.19 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


NorthStar Realty Finance  (NYSE:NRF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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NorthStar Realty Finance (NorthStar Realty Finance) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Northstar Realty Finance Corp is a Maryland corporation formed in October 2003. The Company is an internally managed REIT, and is a diversified commercial real estate investment and asset management company. NorthStar Realty Finance Limited Partnership holds all of the Company's assets and conducts its operation directly or indirectly. The Company invests in multiple asset classes across commercial real estate. These investments are in the form of acquiring real estate, originating or acquiring senior or subordinate loans, as well as CRE investments, both in the United States and internationally. The asset management business is focused on raising and managing capital on a fee basis from alternative sources, which includes non-traded real estate investment trusts, and sponsoring other companies through joint ventures and partnerships, such as RXR Realty, LLC, or RXR Realty. The Company's commercial real estate debt business is focused on originating, structuring, acquiring and managing senior and subordinate debt investments secured by commercial real estate, including first mortgage loans, subordinate interests, mezzanine loans, credit tenant loans and other loans, including preferred equity interests in borrowers who own such properties. The Company competes with many third parties engaged in real estate investment activities including publicly-traded REITs, non-traded REITs, insurance companies, commercial and investment banking firms, private equity funds. The Company is subject to supervision and regulation by state and federal governmental authorities and is subject to various laws and judicial and administrative decisions imposing various requirements and restrictions.
Executives
Louis J Paglia director C/O UIL HOLDINGS CORP, 157 CHURCH STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06506
Gregory Z Rush director 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jonathan A Langer officer: CEO and President C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Judith A Hannaway director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Ronald J. Lieberman officer: EVP, GC & Secretary NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Albert Tylis director, officer: CEO and President of NSAM C/O NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
W D Minami director C/O NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Charles W Schoenherr director C/O DIAMONDHEAD HOLDINGS CORP., 250 PARK AVE., 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10177
David T Hamamoto director, officer: Executive Chairman of NSAM C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Debra Ann Hess officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Daniel R Gilbert officer: Chief Inv. & Op. Officer C/O NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
C Preston Butcher director 120 KEARNEY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Sridhar Sambamurthy director C/O NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Oscar Junquera director C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stephen E Cummings director