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CYS Investments (CYS Investments) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $0.04 (As of Mar18)


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What is CYS Investments Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar18, CYS Investments's earnings power value is $0.04. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


CYS Investments Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CYS Investments Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

CYS Investments Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.86 10.15 -3.34 - -

CYS Investments Quarterly Data
Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



CYS Investments Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

CYS Investments's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 22.43
DDA 0.00
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 5.58
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 6.21
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 154.23

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $22.43 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.58,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 22.43 * 0.00% +5.58 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.00 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
CYS Investments's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. CYS Investments's current cash and cash equivalent = $6.21 Mil.
CYS Investments's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
CYS Investments's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 154.23 Mil.

CYS Investments's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.00)/ 9%+6.21-0 )/154.23
=0.04

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.04023860468132-7.31 )/0.04023860468132
= -18066.63%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


CYS Investments  (NYSE:CYS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


CYS Investments Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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CYS Investments (CYS Investments) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
CYS Investments Inc is a specialty finance company with the objective of risk-adjusted investment income. The company generates its revenue primarily from the difference between the interest income earned on the investment portfolio and the cost of the company's borrowings and hedging activities. The company's investments include residential mortgage pass-through securities, for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a government agency or government-sponsored entity; collateralised mortgage obligations issued by a government agency or government-sponsored entity; U.S. Treasuries; and debt securities issued by a government agency or a government-sponsored entity that is not backed by collateral.
Executives
Redlingshafer Raymond A Jr director 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Dale Anne Reiss director 589 KINZIE ISLAND COURT, SANIBEL FL 33957
James A Stern director C/O OHA - 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Kevin E Grant director, officer: Chairman, CEO, CIO, President 500 TOTTEN POND ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, WALTHAM MA 02451
Thomas A Rosenbloom officer: EVP, GC, and Secretary 500 TOTTEN POND ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, WALTHAM MA 02451
Richard E Cleary officer: COO and Assistant Secretary 500 TOTTEN POND ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, WALTHAM MA 02451
Tanya S Beder director 500 TOTTEN POND ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, WALTHAM MA 02451
Jack Decicco officer: CFO and Treasurer 500 TOTTEN POND ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, WALTHAM MA 02451
Karen Hammond director 1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Stephen P. Jonas director 25 BEAVER PLACE, BOSTON MA 02108
David A Tyson director CITIGROUP ASSET MANAGEMENT, 300 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE 4TH FL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Jeffrey Hughes director 811 HANSEN WAY, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Frances Spark officer: CFO and Treasurer C/O AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Douglas Ii Crocker director C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Ryan Randall Brenneman officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O EYEGATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 271 WAVERLEY OAKS ROAD, SUITE 108, WALTHAM MA 02452