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FEI Co (FEI Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $43.40 (As of Jun16)


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What is FEI Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun16, FEI Co's earnings power value is $43.40. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


FEI Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FEI Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

FEI Co Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.00 32.79 44.53 47.45 42.39

FEI Co Quarterly Data
Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.93 43.72 42.39 43.68 43.40

Competitive Comparison of FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



FEI Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

FEI Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 922.4
DDA 34.9
Operating Margin % 15.23
SGA * 25% 46.3
Tax Rate % 13.98
Maintenance Capex 30.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 317.3
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 0.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 41.4

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 15.23%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $922.4 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 15.23%, Average Adjusted SGA = 46.3,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 922.4 * 15.23% +46.3 = $186.725765209 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 13.98%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $186.725765209 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 186.725765209 * ( 1 - 13.98% ) = $160.62710500574 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 34.9 * 0.5 * 13.98% = $2.438217765 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 160.62710500574 + 2.438217765 = $163.06532277074 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
FEI Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $30.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. FEI Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $317.3 Mil.
FEI Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.0 + 0.0 = $0 Mil.
FEI Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 41.4 Mil.

FEI Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 163.06532277074 - 30.0)/ 9%+317.3-0 )/41.4
=43.40

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 43.399634570307-106.89 )/43.399634570307
= -146.29%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


FEI Co  (NAS:FEIC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


FEI Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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FEI Co (FEI Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
FEI Co was founded and incorporated in Oregon in 1971. It is a supplier of scientific instruments and related services for nanoscale applications and solutions for industry and science. It designs, manufactures, and supports the high-performance microscopy workflows that provide images and answers in the micro-, nano-, and picometer scales. The Company operates in two segments including Industry Group and the Science Group. The Industry Group consists of customers in semiconductor integrated circuit manufacturing and related industries such as manufacturers of data storage equipment and other technologies, as well as customers in the oil and gas industry. The tools developed for Industry Group customers are generally aimed at improving their processes to increase overall yields, whether in a semiconductor factory or at an oil and gas reservoir. For the semiconductor market, it shrinks line widths and process nodes of 16/14 nanometers and smaller, increasing complexity in their materials such as high-k metal gates and low-k dielectrics and increasing device complexity such as 3D transistor architectures; and this products are used in laboratories, near the fabrication line to speed new product development and increase yields by enabling 3D metrology for advanced process control, defect analysis, and root cause failure analysis. For the oil and gas market, its products are used to increase yields in oil and gas exploration and for laboratory analysis. It also provides support for products and customers for the entire life cycle of a tool from installation through the warranty period, and after the warranty period through contract coverage or on a time and materials basis. The Science Group includes universities, public and private research laboratories and customers in industries, including metals, automobiles, aerospace, geosciences and forensics. The tools developed for customers in the Science Group are generally aimed at the exploration and discovery of new materials and chemistries or solving for causes and cures of diseases. The tools are used in a laboratory and are generally not used in industrial applications. It also includes customers at universities, government laboratories and research institutes engaged in biotech and life sciences applications, as well as pharmaceutical and biotech companies. Its solutions enable scientific discovery and advancement for researchers and help manufacturers develop, analyze and produce advanced products. Its products are also used in root cause failure analysis and quality control applications across a range of industries. Its products' ultra-high resolution imaging allows structural biologists to create detailed 3D reconstructions of complex biological structures such as proteins and viruses. Cellular biologists use companies tools to correlate wide-field, lower resolution optical images with higher resolution electron microscope imaging. Its products are also used by drug researchers
Executives
Anthony L Trunzo officer: See Remarks 27700 SW PARKWAY AVENUE, WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Jami K Nachtsheim director
Don R Kania director, officer: See Remarks C/O FEI COMPANY, 5350 NE DAWSON CREEK DRIVE, HILLSBORO OR 97124
James T Richardson director 01396 SW MILITARY ROAD, PORTLAND OR 97219
Homa Bahrami director 4900 PATRICK HENRY DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Thomas F Kelly director 57 STEVENSON LANE, ATHERTON CA 94027
Gerhard H Parker director 3050 BOWERS AVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Raymond A Link officer: Executive VP, CFO C/O FORMFACTOR, INC., 7005 SOUTHFRONT ROAD, LIVERMORE CA 94551
Benjamin Geklim Loh officer: EVP and COO C/O FEI COMPANY, 5350 NE DAWSON CREEK DRIVE, HILLSBORO OR 97124
Peter Frasso officer: Executive Vice President, COO

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