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FleetMatics Group (FleetMatics Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $9.49 (As of Jun16)


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What is FleetMatics Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun16, FleetMatics Group's earnings power value is $9.49. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


FleetMatics Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FleetMatics Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

FleetMatics Group Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 9.69

FleetMatics Group Quarterly Data
Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 9.69 8.23 9.49

Competitive Comparison of FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Application subindustry, FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



FleetMatics Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

FleetMatics Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 206.2
DDA 21.7
Operating Margin % 12.37
SGA * 25% 27.9
Tax Rate % 5.08
Maintenance Capex 32.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 194.2
Short-Term Debt 2.2
Long-Term Debt 25.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 39.7

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.37%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $206.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.37%, Average Adjusted SGA = 27.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 206.2 * 12.37% +27.9 = $53.39826588 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 5.08%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $53.39826588 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 53.39826588 * ( 1 - 5.08% ) = $50.68376503399 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 21.7 * 0.5 * 5.08% = $0.550329543 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 50.68376503399 + 0.550329543 = $51.23409457699 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
FleetMatics Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $32.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. FleetMatics Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $194.2 Mil.
FleetMatics Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 25.5 + 2.2 = $27.692 Mil.
FleetMatics Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 39.7 Mil.

FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 51.23409457699 - 32.3)/ 9%+194.2-27.692 )/39.7
=9.49

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 9.4892932434788-60.00 )/9.4892932434788
= -532.29%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


FleetMatics Group  (NYSE:FLTX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


FleetMatics Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FleetMatics Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FleetMatics Group (FleetMatics Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
FleetMatics Group PLC was incorporated in Ireland on October 28, 2004 as a private limited company. The Company is a holding company and conduct substantially all of its business through its wholly-owned operating subsidiaries, FleetMatics IRL Limited, FleetMatics UK Limited, FleetMatics USA, LLC, SageQuest LLC, and Connect2Field Pty Ltd. It is a provider of fleet management solutions delivered as software-as-a-service, or SaaS. Its mobile software platform enables businesses to meet the challenges associated with managing their local fleets of commercial vehicles and improve productivity by extracting actionable business intelligence from vehicle and driver behavioral data. The Company offers intuitive, cost-effective Web-based and mobile application solutions that provide fleet operators with visibility into vehicle location, fuel usage, speed and mileage and other insights into their mobile workforce, enabling them to reduce operating and capital costs, as well as increase revenue. As of December 31, 2013, the Company had approximately 22,000 customers who collectively deployed its solutions in over 445,000 vehicles worldwide. The substantial majority of its customers are small and medium-sized businesses, or SMBs, each of which deploys its solutions in 1,000 or fewer vehicles. Many SMBs manage their local fleets by using manual processes, such as entering data on time sheets and communicating with mobile employees using cellular phones, which generate minimal actionable business intelligence. Its multi-tenant SaaS solutions are designed to meet the needs of SMBs, overcome existing barriers to adoption, and leverage the volumes of data transmitted to them from in-vehicle devices over cellular networks that they aggregate and analyze from its large and growing subscriber base. By using its solutions to extract actionable business intelligence from the data on their fleet and mobile workforce, fleet operators gain greater control over fuel, maintenance, labor and other costs while improving the return on capital invested in their fleet. The Company's SaaS solutions enable businesses to meet the challenges associated with managing their local fleets by extracting actionable business intelligence from vehicle and driver behavioral data. Its fleet management solutions can be accessed over personal computers, tablets or smart phones. The Company's Fleet Tracking Alerts allow fleet operators to set driver performance thresholds and receive email notifications when unwanted driving behavior occurs. Notifications are sent when a vehicle enters or exits specified areas, moves during specified times, or when a vehicle's speed or idle time exceeds specified thresholds. Its Route Replay feature allows customers to play back each journey taken by their vehicles, from start up to shut down and provides customers with minute-by-minute location and speed details. Its marketing programs target owners and managers in the service and distribution
Executives
Jill A Ward other: President & COO C/O FLEETMATICS, 1100 WINTER STREET, SUITE 4600, WALTHAM MA 02451
James F. Kelliher director C/O LOGMEIN, INC. 500 UNICORN PARK DRIVE WOBURN MA 01801
Allison Mnookin director C/O INTUIT, 150 CAMBRIDGE PARK DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Jack Noonan director 17000 GULF BLVD, UNIT B, N. REDINGTON BEACH FL 33708
Robert Dahdah officer: SVP, Global Sales C/O NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS, INC. ONE WAYSIDE ROAD BURLINGTON MA 01803
Brian Halligan director C/O HUBSPOT, 25 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Palma Vincent De director C/O SHRED-IT INTERNATIONAL, 2794 SOUTH SHERIDAN WAY, OAKVILLE A6 L6J7T4
Stephen J Lifshatz officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O DYNATRACE HOLDINGS LLC, 1601 TRAPELO ROAD, SUITE 116, WALTHAM MA 02451

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