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First Potomac Realty Trust (First Potomac Realty Trust) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-25.63 (As of Jun17)


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What is First Potomac Realty Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun17, First Potomac Realty Trust's earnings power value is $-25.63. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


First Potomac Realty Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Potomac Realty Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

First Potomac Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -39.40 -30.81 -39.31 -30.80 -27.99

First Potomac Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -31.60 -29.72 -27.99 -25.85 -25.63

Competitive Comparison of First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the REIT - Office subindustry, First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



First Potomac Realty Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

First Potomac Realty Trust's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 156.3
DDA 65.2
Operating Margin % 2.98
SGA * 25% 5.4
Tax Rate % 23.21
Maintenance Capex 92.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 14.5
Short-Term Debt 74.0
Long-Term Debt 571.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 58.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 2.98%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $156.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 2.98%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.4,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 156.3 * 2.98% +5.4 = $10.040869306 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.21%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $10.040869306 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 10.040869306 * ( 1 - 23.21% ) = $7.7099317009586 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 65.2 * 0.5 * 23.21% = $7.5734752655 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 7.7099317009586 + 7.5734752655 = $15.283406966459 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
First Potomac Realty Trust's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $92.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. First Potomac Realty Trust's current cash and cash equivalent = $14.5 Mil.
First Potomac Realty Trust's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 571.2 + 74.0 = $645.14 Mil.
First Potomac Realty Trust's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 58.0 Mil.

First Potomac Realty Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun17 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 15.283406966459 - 92.3)/ 9%+14.5-645.14 )/58.0
=-25.63

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -25.629940560956-11.14 )/-25.629940560956
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


First Potomac Realty Trust  (NYSE:FPO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


First Potomac Realty Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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First Potomac Realty Trust (First Potomac Realty Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
First Potomac Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership, management, and development of commercial properties in the greater Washington D.C. area. The company's real estate portfolio is primarily composed of a mix of single-tenant and multi-tenant office properties and business parks. These assets are fairly evenly distributed between the Washington D.C., Maryland, Northern Virginia, and Southern Virginia regions in terms of square footage. First Potomac derives the vast majority of its revenue in the form of rental income from tenants. Most of this revenue comes from its properties located in Maryland and Northern Virginia. The company's largest tenants are U.S. government entities and government contractors.
Executives
Andrew P Blocher officer: EVP, CFO 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Thomas E Robinson other: Trustee 309 GARRISON FOREST ROAD, OWNINGS MILLS MD 21117
Terry L Stevens other: Trustee 3100 SMOKETREE COURT, SUITE 600, RALEIGH NC 27604
Michael H Comer officer: SVP, CAO FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Robert H Arnold other: Trustee 129 E.69TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10021
Robert Milkovich officer: President, CEO and COO 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Samantha Sacks Gallagher officer: EVP and General Counsel C/O VICI PROPERTIES INC., 535 MADISON AVE 20TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kati M. Penney other: Trustee C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
James P Hoffmann other: Trustee FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Alan G Merten other: Trustee 11020 POPES HEAD ROAD, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Richard B Chess other: Trustee 3821 DARBY DR, MIDLOTHIAN VA 23113
Douglas J Donatelli officer: CEO C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Nicholas R Smith officer: EVP, CIO C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
R Michael Mccullough other: Trustee 8270 GREENSBORO DR STE 950, MCLEAN VA 22102
Heller J Roderick Iii other: Trustee C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814

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