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E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings (HKSE:02048) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$-13.33 (As of Dec23)


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What is E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's earnings power value is HK$-13.33. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 6.41 9.77 -3.06 -10.23 -13.39

E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.06 - -10.23 - -13.39

Competitive Comparison of E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 8,201
DDA 359
Operating Margin % -35.11
SGA * 25% 1,216
Tax Rate % 12.25
Maintenance Capex 130
Cash and Cash Equivalents 754
Short-Term Debt 6,015
Long-Term Debt 647
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,749

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -35.11%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$8,201 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -35.11%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1,216,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,201 * -35.11% +1,216 = HK$-1662.645960072 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 12.25%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$-1662.645960072 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -1662.645960072 * ( 1 - 12.25% ) = HK$-1458.9053241248 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 359 * 0.5 * 12.25% = HK$22.015744718 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -1458.9053241248 + 22.015744718 = HK$-1436.8895794068 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$130 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$754 Mil.
E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 647 + 6,015 = HK$6662.208 Mil.
E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,749 Mil.

E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -1436.8895794068 - 130)/ 9%+754-6662.208 )/1,749
=-13.33

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -13.333515395614-0.139 )/-13.333515395614
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings  (HKSE:02048) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings (HKSE:02048) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
383 Guangyan Road, 11th Floor, Yinli Building, Jing'an District, Shanghai, CHN, 200072
E-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Ltd is a real estate transaction service provider. The company's operating segment includes Real estate agency services in the primary market, Real estate data and consulting services, Real estate brokerage network services and Digital marketing services. The Group's operations are located in the People's Republic of China.
Executives
Alibaba.com Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Alibaba.com Investment Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Alibaba.com Hong Kong Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhou Xin 2105 Underwriter
E-house Holdings Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Taobao Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Taobao China Holding Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
E-house (china) Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Hengda Real Estate Group Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guang Zhou Shi Kai Long Zhi Ye You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guang Zhou Shi Chao Feng Zhi Ye You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Anji (bvi) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Captain Valley (cayman) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Central Sino Global Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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