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Lygend Resources & Technology Co (HKSE:02245) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$-3.49 (As of Dec23)


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What is Lygend Resources & Technology Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Lygend Resources & Technology Co's earnings power value is HK$-3.49. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Lygend Resources & Technology Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lygend Resources & Technology Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Lygend Resources & Technology Co Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
- - - - -1.87

Lygend Resources & Technology Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -1.87

Competitive Comparison of Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Lygend Resources & Technology Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Lygend Resources & Technology Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 15,659
DDA 333
Operating Margin % 11.10
SGA * 25% 138
Tax Rate % 14.69
Maintenance Capex 1,433
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,050
Short-Term Debt 5,152
Long-Term Debt 7,461
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,556

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 11.10%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$15,659 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 11.10%, Average Adjusted SGA = 138,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 15,659 * 11.10% +138 = HK$1876.013545724 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 14.69%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$1876.013545724 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1876.013545724 * ( 1 - 14.69% ) = HK$1600.4646761281 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 333 * 0.5 * 14.69% = HK$24.445355904 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1600.4646761281 + 24.445355904 = HK$1624.9100320321 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$1,433 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Lygend Resources & Technology Co's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$5,050 Mil.
Lygend Resources & Technology Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 7,461 + 5,152 = HK$12613.764 Mil.
Lygend Resources & Technology Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,556 Mil.

Lygend Resources & Technology Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1624.9100320321 - 1,433)/ 9%+5,050-12613.764 )/1,556
=-3.49

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.4931056851917-6.30 )/-3.4931056851917
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Lygend Resources & Technology Co  (HKSE:02245) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Lygend Resources & Technology Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Lygend Resources & Technology Co (HKSE:02245) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Lane 299 Guanghua Road, 10th-11th Floor, Building C10, R&D Park, Yinzhou District, Zhejiang Province, Ningbo, CHN, 315000
Lygend Resources & Technology Co Ltd is engaged in both the trading and the production of nickel products. The company has a comprehensive product and service portfolio covering multiple areas across the nickel industry value chain, from upstream sourcing of nickel resources, trading and production of nickel products, to equipment manufacturing and sale. Its products are widely used in various downstream sectors including the NEV and stainless steel industries. It derives a majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Gong Yin Rui Xin Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2102 Investment manager
Oakswood Group Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lim Shu Hua, Cheryl 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Feng Yi Pte. Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Dbs Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
China International Capital Corporation Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ge Lin Mei Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si
Gong Yin Rui Xin Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si Dai Gong Yin Rui Xin Tai Hong Hao Dan Yi Zi Chan Gu
Guang Dong Bang Pu Xun Huan Ke Ji You Xian Gong Si
Ning Bo Bang Pu Shi Dai Xin Neng Yuan You Xian Gong Si
Hu Bei Rong Bai Dian Chi San Jiao Yi Hao Gu Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo
Ge Lin Mei Xiang Gang Guo Ji Wu Liu You Xian Gong Si
Guang Fa Zi Guan Rong Bai Dian Chi Dan Yi Zi Chan Guan Li Ji Hua 2301 Trustee
Ning Bo Rong Bai Xin Neng Yuan Ke Ji Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si
Ning Bo Shi Yin Zhou Qu Jin Rong Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si

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