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Investment Technology Group (Investment Technology Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $109.53 (As of Sep18)


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What is Investment Technology Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep18, Investment Technology Group's earnings power value is $109.53. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Investment Technology Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Investment Technology Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Investment Technology Group Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.46 30.51 39.48 28.07 90.93

Investment Technology Group Quarterly Data
Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 77.02 90.93 87.14 112.88 109.53

Competitive Comparison of Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Investment Technology Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Investment Technology Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 532.0
DDA 45.7
Operating Margin % 6.12
SGA * 25% 120.7
Tax Rate % -159.65
Maintenance Capex 39.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 240.2
Short-Term Debt 52.3
Long-Term Debt 2.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 34.4

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.12%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $532.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.12%, Average Adjusted SGA = 120.7,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 532.0 * 6.12% +120.7 = $153.322054257 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -159.65%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $153.322054257 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 153.322054257 * ( 1 - -159.65% ) = $398.10378031939 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 45.7 * 0.5 * -159.65% = $-36.509379012 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 398.10378031939 + -36.509379012 = $361.59440130739 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Investment Technology Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $39.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Investment Technology Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $240.2 Mil.
Investment Technology Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2.1 + 52.3 = $54.42 Mil.
Investment Technology Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 34.4 Mil.

Investment Technology Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 361.59440130739 - 39.0)/ 9%+240.2-54.42 )/34.4
=109.53

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 109.53435445009-30.23 )/109.53435445009
= 72.4%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Investment Technology Group  (NYSE:ITG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Investment Technology Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Investment Technology Group (Investment Technology Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
165 Broadway, One Liberty Plaza, New York, NY, USA, 10006
Investment Technology Group Inc is a United States-based brokerage and financial technology company. The company provides a wide range of products and services, including electronic brokerage, research, sales and trading, and platforms and analytics. The company generates over half of its revenue from electronic brokerage, research, and sales and trading. The company has a global presence, with a network of offices in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. Its business is categorized into four reporting segments: U.S. operations, Canadian operations, European operations, and Asia-Pacific operations. The U.S. is its largest market.
Executives
Lee Shavel director ONE LIBERTY PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10006
Brian G. Cartwright director 3760 KILROY AIRPORT WAY SUITE 300, LONG BEACH CA 90806
R Jarrett Lilien director 250 WEST 34TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, C/O WISDOMTREE, INC., NEW YORK NY 10119
Kevin J Lynch director 201 POST STREET, SUITE 1000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
T Kelley Millet director ITG INC., ONE LIBERTY PLAZA, 165 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10006
Christopher V Dodds director ITG INC., ONE LIBERTY PLAZA, 165 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10006
D. E. Shaw & Co, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: See footnotes 1 and 2 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NINTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
David E Shaw 10 percent owner, other: See footnotes 1 and 2 120 WEST FORTY-FIFTH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
D. E. Shaw & Co, L.l.c. 10 percent owner, other: See footnotes 1 and 2 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NINTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
D. E. Shaw Laminar Portfolios, L.l.c. 10 percent owner, other: See footnotes 1 and 2. 120 WEST FORTY-FIFTH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
William I Jacobs director C/O MASTERCARD INTERNATIONAL INC, 2000 PURCHASE ST, PUCHASE NY 10577-2509
Killian Raymond L Jr director C/O INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC, 900 THIRD AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mark A Wolfson director C/O ARBOR INVESTORS, 2460 SAND HILL RD STE 300, MENLO PARK CA 94025

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